The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
List

The jobs most exposed to AI at every pay level

Occupations with a published median wage, split into five pay bands; the ten highest exposed shares in each. Release v2026.Q3, capability reference date 2026-09-15, built on O*NET 31.0.

Exposure is not a low pay problem or a high pay problem. Every band has jobs that are mostly producible by a current system, and seeing them side by side is the quickest way to stop assuming yours is safe because of what it pays.

Under $40,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Telemarketers73.3%22.1%$35,4501exposed
2Concierges60.1%16.0%$38,95045exposed
3Receptionists and Information Clerks56.4%15.5%$38,01065exposed
4Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service51.2%17.6%$38,630103exposed
5Cashiers50.0%21.0%$32,880109exposed
6Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks45.9%22.1%$35,070154exposed
7Gambling Change Persons and Booth Cashiers44.9%25.7%$36,220173exposed
8Parts Salespersons44.8%18.5%$38,630177exposed
9Retail Salespersons44.1%18.9%$35,410194exposed
10Driver/Sales Workers41.4%16.4%$38,770246exposed

$40,000 to $60,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Desktop Publishers72.9%13.0%$55,2902exposed
2Statistical Assistants71.0%22.9%$50,3304exposed
3Proofreaders and Copy Markers70.2%20.0%$51,1205exposed
4Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks68.6%23.0%$49,2309exposed
5Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks66.8%20.7%$44,39011exposed
6Customer Service Representatives66.1%23.6%$44,77013exposed
7Word Processors and Typists65.6%14.0%$49,28016exposed
8Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance63.8%21.9%$50,34021exposed
9Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants63.7%19.3%$45,93022exposed
10Cargo and Freight Agents63.3%17.9%$52,26027exposed

$60,000 to $80,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists66.8%21.9%$78,76012exposed
2Writers and Authors65.7%17.2%$76,91015exposed
3Editors63.1%15.9%$77,92028exposed
4Interpreters and Translators62.6%27.5%$60,17032exposed
5Poets, Lyricists and Creative Writers61.3%14.4%$76,91038exposed
6Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel61.2%21.9%$69,99040exposed
7Cost Estimators59.6%28.3%$78,74047exposed
8Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products58.1%20.9%$72,08055exposed
9Search Marketing Strategists58.0%22.6%$78,76056exposed
10Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants57.8%20.7%$76,59057exposed

$80,000 to $100,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Technical Writers68.9%16.3%$90,3908exposed
2Web Developers65.5%23.3%$92,65017exposed
3Financial Quantitative Analysts65.2%27.9%$81,10019exposed
4Logistics Analysts63.7%22.6%$82,32023exposed
5Sustainability Specialists63.6%26.2%$83,05024exposed
6Credit Analysts63.0%28.1%$83,51030exposed
7Bioinformatics Technicians61.4%22.8%$81,49037exposed
8Online Merchants60.7%24.0%$83,05041exposed
9Logistics Engineers59.5%24.9%$82,32049exposed
10Operations Research Analysts57.8%25.2%$88,94059exposed

$100,000 and over

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Business Intelligence Analysts72.0%22.7%$120,2303exposed
2Geographic Information Systems Technologists and Technicians69.3%21.5%$116,5806exposed
3Data Scientists69.1%21.3%$120,2307exposed
4Document Management Specialists67.2%24.0%$116,58010exposed
5Database Administrators65.9%24.0%$104,62014exposed
6Web and Digital Interface Designers65.3%23.5%$104,00018exposed
7Data Warehousing Specialists65.2%26.4%$139,50020exposed
8Biostatisticians63.5%25.9%$105,65025exposed
9Database Architects63.4%25.5%$139,50026exposed
10Mathematicians63.1%20.7%$126,71029exposed

How to read this

Exposed is the share of an occupation’s weighted task load that a generally available AI system can produce today with little structural friction. Assisted is work it can produce but cannot finish alone, because somebody has to be present, accountable, or because checking the output costs as much as doing the work. Untouched is work it cannot produce at all.

Every figure here is computed from task level ratings, and every occupation links to the page that shows its own tasks. If a rating looks wrong, the task is the level to argue at: how this is measured.

Questions about this list

What is the most exposed job at each pay level?

Under $40,000: Telemarketers, 73.3% exposed. $40,000 to $60,000: Desktop Publishers, 72.9% exposed. $60,000 to $80,000: Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists, 66.8% exposed. $80,000 to $100,000: Technical Writers, 68.9% exposed. $100,000 and over: Business Intelligence Analysts, 72.0% exposed. Release v2026.Q3.

How is this list decided?

Occupations with a published median wage, split into five pay bands; the ten highest exposed shares in each. Scores come from rating every standardised work activity in each occupation against a published rubric, not from rating the occupation as a whole.

Does a high score mean the job disappears?

No. Exposure is not displacement. This measures what current systems can produce and what structurally stands in the way, not what an employer will do about it.

Other cuts of the same data

Exposure is not displacement. This index measures what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. It does not forecast job losses, and it models no adoption, employment or wage effect.