The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
List

The best paid jobs AI cannot do that need no degree

O*NET Job Zone 1 or 2, in the untouched band, with a published median wage, ranked from the highest pay downward. Release v2026.Q3, capability reference date 2026-09-15, built on O*NET 31.0.

The combination most people are actually looking for: work a machine cannot produce, that pays, and that does not start with four years of tuition.

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives26.4%18.8%$106,040476untouched
2Power Plant Operators22.9%15.9%$102,040533untouched
3Biomass Plant Technicians19.7%14.3%$102,040604untouched
4Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers25.4%15.1%$96,710485untouched
5Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers5.1%5.9%$95,320872untouched
6Transportation Vehicle, Equipment and Systems Inspectors, Except Aviation21.0%20.9%$92,100573untouched
7Gas Plant Operators26.2%19.6%$87,820479untouched
8Locomotive Engineers24.2%17.2%$81,410502untouched
9Roof Bolters, Mining2.8%4.5%$78,540898untouched
10Non-Destructive Testing Specialists27.9%18.8%$78,350462untouched
11Chemical Plant and System Operators28.1%19.0%$78,120457untouched
12Gas Compressor and Gas Pumping Station Operators32.6%16.1%$77,320401untouched
13Boilermakers4.6%4.8%$76,410881untouched
14Terrazzo Workers and Finishers2.8%1.0%$76,170897untouched
15Loading and Moving Machine Operators, Underground Mining10.9%6.8%$74,500776untouched
16Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers9.1%4.7%$74,330813untouched
17Pile Driver Operators2.0%3.0%$73,300904untouched
18Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators1.0%1.2%$70,070914untouched
19Wellhead Pumpers18.0%10.5%$69,960644untouched
20Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers15.3%11.5%$68,840704untouched
21Tapers3.0%2.8%$68,270894untouched
22Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas5.1%4.2%$67,890873untouched
23Rail Car Repairers9.7%6.3%$67,530800untouched
24Transportation Security Screeners19.5%23.2%$66,770610untouched
25Athletes and Sports Competitors8.4%6.2%$66,710821untouched
26Millwrights4.7%3.3%$65,700879untouched
27Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers3.4%2.4%$65,380892untouched
28Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic17.1%6.4%$63,870660untouched
29Flight Attendants31.7%12.6%$63,580412untouched
30Structural Iron and Steel Workers2.6%2.2%$62,780900untouched
31Riggers7.8%4.4%$62,640832untouched
32Timing Device Assemblers and Adjusters9.0%4.9%$62,620816untouched
33Biofuels Processing Technicians19.8%16.8%$62,470600untouched
34Brickmasons and Blockmasons7.2%6.2%$62,120845untouched
35Continuous Mining Machine Operators7.4%11.5%$61,810840untouched
36Sheet Metal Workers6.8%7.2%$61,800850untouched
37Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers28.4%14.5%$61,770456untouched
38Explosives Workers, Ordnance Handling Experts, and Blasters9.1%7.0%$61,390811untouched
39Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons0.0%0.0%$61,290919untouched
40Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers18.2%11.5%$60,600636untouched

How to read this

Exposed is the share of an occupation’s weighted task load that a generally available AI system can produce today with little structural friction. Assisted is work it can produce but cannot finish alone, because somebody has to be present, accountable, or because checking the output costs as much as doing the work. Untouched is work it cannot produce at all.

Every figure here is computed from task level ratings, and every occupation links to the page that shows its own tasks. If a rating looks wrong, the task is the level to argue at: how this is measured.

Questions about this list

What tops the list?

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives, with 26.4% of its weighted task load exposed to current AI systems, 18.8% assisted and 54.8% untouched. Release v2026.Q3.

How is this list decided?

O*NET Job Zone 1 or 2, in the untouched band, with a published median wage, ranked from the highest pay downward. Scores come from rating every standardised work activity in each occupation against a published rubric, not from rating the occupation as a whole.

Does a high score mean the job disappears?

No. Exposure is not displacement. This measures what current systems can produce and what structurally stands in the way, not what an employer will do about it.

Other cuts of the same data

Exposure is not displacement. This index measures what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. It does not forecast job losses, and it models no adoption, employment or wage effect.