The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
List

The most common jobs AI cannot do

Occupations in the untouched band, ranked by US employment, largest first. Release v2026.Q3, capability reference date 2026-09-15, built on O*NET 31.0.

A job AI cannot do is only useful news if there are openings in it. These are the untouched occupations with the most people doing them now.

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Fast Food and Counter Workers18.9%7.2%$31,200621untouched
2Baristas16.1%7.5%$31,200686untouched
3Registered Nurses20.4%27.9%$97,550585untouched
4Acute Care Nurses17.4%27.4%$97,550655untouched
5Critical Care Nurses15.0%23.6%$97,550709untouched
6Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand16.4%7.0%$40,240672untouched
7Recycling and Reclamation Workers8.7%4.2%$40,240820untouched
8Stockers and Order Fillers23.4%9.4%$37,330518untouched
9Waiters and Waitresses23.2%9.1%$35,230522untouched
10Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners9.5%4.7%$36,840804untouched
11Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers25.1%13.5%$58,640491untouched
12Maintenance and Repair Workers, General15.7%8.0%$49,590694untouched
13Nursing Assistants11.9%11.3%$42,260759untouched
14Cooks, Restaurant12.0%6.6%$37,390754untouched
15Security Guards22.4%15.8%$38,020539untouched
16Construction Laborers5.1%3.4%$47,120871untouched
17Light Truck Drivers35.9%13.8%$44,860348untouched
18Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers7.6%4.1%$39,150836untouched
19Food Preparation Workers6.7%3.8%$35,320853untouched
20Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners5.4%3.3%$35,510869untouched
21Medical Assistants20.3%16.4%$45,690587untouched
22First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers16.2%13.8%$79,920683untouched
23Solar Energy Installation Managers27.3%20.5%$79,920466untouched
24Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators4.1%3.1%$46,420888untouched
25Electricians11.3%10.3%$63,190772untouched
26Bartenders22.3%11.2%$34,340540untouched
27Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics10.0%7.1%$50,620796untouched
28Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers12.4%15.5%$76,210744untouched
29Carpenters9.3%6.3%$60,580808untouched
30Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses18.3%20.0%$64,400634untouched
31Cooks, Fast Food6.6%2.8%$30,890856untouched
32Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers20.9%12.0%$48,570575untouched
33Packers and Packagers, Hand8.1%2.9%$36,280828untouched
34Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers6.6%2.1%$33,980858untouched
35Substitute Teachers, Short-Term16.3%13.5%$41,670677untouched
36Childcare Workers16.2%13.9%$34,980679untouched
37Nannies15.6%15.3%$34,980695untouched
38Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education24.0%15.4%$38,140508untouched
39Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators7.4%6.0%$59,850841untouched
40Dishwashers0.0%0.0%$34,810923untouched

How to read this

Exposed is the share of an occupation’s weighted task load that a generally available AI system can produce today with little structural friction. Assisted is work it can produce but cannot finish alone, because somebody has to be present, accountable, or because checking the output costs as much as doing the work. Untouched is work it cannot produce at all.

Every figure here is computed from task level ratings, and every occupation links to the page that shows its own tasks. If a rating looks wrong, the task is the level to argue at: how this is measured.

Questions about this list

What tops the list?

Fast Food and Counter Workers, with 18.9% of its weighted task load exposed to current AI systems, 7.2% assisted and 73.9% untouched. Release v2026.Q3.

How is this list decided?

Occupations in the untouched band, ranked by US employment, largest first. Scores come from rating every standardised work activity in each occupation against a published rubric, not from rating the occupation as a whole.

Does a high score mean the job disappears?

No. Exposure is not displacement. This measures what current systems can produce and what structurally stands in the way, not what an employer will do about it.

Other cuts of the same data

Exposure is not displacement. This index measures what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. It does not forecast job losses, and it models no adoption, employment or wage effect.