The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 29-1141.00 · Job Zone 4

AI exposure: Registered Nurses

Assess patient health problems and needs, develop and implement nursing care plans, and maintain medical records. Administer nursing care to ill, injured, convalescent, or disabled patients. May advise patients on health maintenance and disease prevention or provide case management. Licensing or registration required.

Reading this score

computed

At 20.4% of weighted task load, Registered Nurses sits at the 37th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 51.7% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is verification cost. Across this occupation's 27 tasks it averages 2.54 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, checking the output costs more than producing it. Where an undetected error is expensive, dangerous or irreversible, the economics change. Someone has to verify the work, and verifying can cost as much as doing it. This is the friction most likely to fall as tools for checking improve.

The most exposed thing this job does is Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records, at 60.0%. The least is Administer local, inhalation, intravenous, or other anesthetics, at 0.0%. A gap of 60.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within healthcare practitioner and technical occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 89 roles in the group is 18.4%, and only 32 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 27 tasks, 5 are currently banded exposed, 10 assisted and 12 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take a change in who is permitted to sign the work, which is a question for regulators rather than for engineers. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.870-4
Embodiment1.190-3
Presence1.810-3
Accountability2.450-3
Context1.910-3
Verification cost2.540-3

Task by task

27 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.60.0%40.0%0.0%4.69exposed
Record patients' medical information and vital signs.53.3%46.7%0.0%4.74exposed
Instruct individuals, families, or other groups on topics such as health education, disease prevention, or childbirth and develop health improvement programs.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.35exposed
Work with individuals, groups, or families to plan or implement programs designed to improve the overall health of communities.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.08exposed
Consult with institutions or associations regarding issues or concerns relevant to the practice and profession of nursing.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.85exposed
Modify patient treatment plans as indicated by patients' responses and conditions.30.0%45.0%25.0%4.34assisted
Order, interpret, and evaluate diagnostic tests to identify and assess patient's condition.29.2%33.3%37.5%4.41assisted
Direct or coordinate infection control programs, advising or consulting with specified personnel about necessary precautions.25.0%37.5%37.5%4.38assisted
Inform physician of patient's condition during anesthesia.25.0%50.0%25.0%3.49assisted
Monitor, record, and report symptoms or changes in patients' conditions.22.2%44.4%33.3%4.61assisted
Engage in research activities related to nursing.20.0%30.0%50.0%3.42assisted
Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.16.7%33.3%50.0%4.42assisted
Refer students or patients to specialized health resources or community agencies furnishing assistance.16.7%33.3%50.0%3.96assisted
Consult and coordinate with healthcare team members to assess, plan, implement, or evaluate patient care plans.13.3%36.7%50.0%4.48assisted
Conduct specified laboratory tests.13.3%36.7%50.0%4.31assisted
Prepare rooms, sterile instruments, equipment, or supplies and ensure that stock of supplies is maintained.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.35untouched
Provide or arrange for training or instruction of auxiliary personnel or students.8.3%16.7%75.0%4.09untouched
Monitor all aspects of patient care, including diet and physical activity.7.5%30.0%62.5%4.44untouched
Observe nurses and visit patients to ensure proper nursing care.7.5%17.5%75.0%4.23untouched
Prescribe or recommend drugs, medical devices, or other forms of treatment, such as physical therapy, inhalation therapy, or related therapeutic procedures.7.5%17.5%75.0%4.40untouched
Perform physical examinations, make tentative diagnoses, and treat patients en route to hospitals or at disaster site triage centers.5.2%28.1%66.7%3.95untouched
Direct or supervise less-skilled nursing or healthcare personnel or supervise a particular unit.5.0%20.0%75.0%4.46untouched
Assess the needs of individuals, families, or communities, including assessment of individuals' home or work environments, to identify potential health or safety problems.5.0%20.0%75.0%4.19untouched
Administer medications to patients and monitor patients for reactions or side effects.1.7%10.8%87.5%4.70untouched
Provide health care, first aid, immunizations, or assistance in convalescence or rehabilitation in locations such as schools, hospitals, or industry.1.2%11.2%87.5%4.56untouched
Prepare patients for and assist with examinations or treatments.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.06untouched
Administer local, inhalation, intravenous, or other anesthetics.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.17untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.