The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 35-2014.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Cooks, Restaurant

Prepare, season, and cook dishes such as soups, meats, vegetables, or desserts in restaurants. May order supplies, keep records and accounts, price items on menu, or plan menu.

Reading this score

computed

At 12.0% of weighted task load, Cooks, Restaurant sits at the 18th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 81.4% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 20 tasks it averages 2.35 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Consult with supervisory staff to plan menus, taking into consideration factors such as costs..., at 80.0%. The least is Butcher and dress animals, fowl, or shellfish, or cut and bone meat prior to cooking, at 0.0%. A gap of 80.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within food preparation and serving occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 18.2% across the group's 16 roles, with 10 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 20 tasks, 4 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 15 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.000-4
Embodiment2.350-3
Presence0.650-3
Accountability0.680-3
Context1.120-3
Verification cost0.950-3

Task by task

20 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Consult with supervisory staff to plan menus, taking into consideration factors such as costs and special event needs.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.00exposed
Keep records and accounts.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.11exposed
Estimate expected food consumption, requisition or purchase supplies, or procure food from storage.70.0%17.5%12.5%4.04exposed
Plan and price menu items.60.0%15.0%25.0%3.46exposed
Ensure food is stored and cooked at correct temperature by regulating temperature of ovens, broilers, grills, and roasters.23.3%26.7%50.0%4.74assisted
Ensure freshness of food and ingredients by checking for quality, keeping track of old and new items, and rotating stock.14.2%10.8%75.0%4.65untouched
Observe and test foods to determine if they have been cooked sufficiently, using methods such as tasting, smelling, or piercing them with utensils.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.37untouched
Coordinate and supervise work of kitchen staff.10.0%15.0%75.0%4.57untouched
Inspect and clean food preparation areas, such as equipment, work surfaces, and serving areas, to ensure safe and sanitary food-handling practices.5.0%7.5%87.5%4.72untouched
Portion, arrange, and garnish food, and serve food to waiters or patrons.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.69untouched
Season and cook food according to recipes or personal judgment and experience.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.65untouched
Bake, roast, broil, and steam meats, fish, vegetables, and other foods.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.53untouched
Weigh, measure, and mix ingredients according to recipes or personal judgment, using various kitchen utensils and equipment.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.47untouched
Turn or stir foods to ensure even cooking.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.39untouched
Substitute for or assist other cooks during emergencies or rush periods.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.30untouched
Wash, peel, cut, and seed fruits and vegetables to prepare them for consumption.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.15untouched
Bake breads, rolls, cakes, and pastries.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.94untouched
Carve and trim meats such as beef, veal, ham, pork, and lamb for hot or cold service, or for sandwiches.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.73untouched
Prepare relishes and hors d'oeuvres.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.08untouched
Butcher and dress animals, fowl, or shellfish, or cut and bone meat prior to cooking.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.55untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.