AI exposure in management occupations
56 occupations, 1,213 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 6 of 22 by median exposed share.
Reading this family
computedThe median management occupation has 41.3% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 17.0 points above the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 39.7%, across 11,064,420 US workers. 55 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 1 in assisted and 0 in untouched.
What holds the line across this family is context, at 2.08 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is knowing things a model cannot hold. The work runs on private, tacit or real-time organisational knowledge. This is the friction most likely to erode, because context is a plumbing problem rather than a law.
The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. Marketing Managers sits at 51.6%. Hydroelectric Production Managers sits at 29.4%. Both are management occupations, and 22.2 points separate them.
Where the family score comes from
judgedMeans across all 1,213 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.
| Dimension | Mean | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Capability | 2.64 | 0-4 |
| Embodiment | 0.46 | 0-3 |
| Presence | 1.06 | 0-3 |
| Accountability | 1.20 | 0-3 |
| Context | 2.08 | 0-3 |
| Verification cost | 1.55 | 0-3 |
Every management occupation
See them on the chart| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Median pay | Tasks | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marketing Managers | 51.6% | 24.0% | 24.4% | $166,790 | 20 | exposed |
| Clinical Research Coordinators | 49.3% | 26.5% | 24.2% | $167,220 | 33 | exposed |
| Advertising and Promotions Managers | 49.2% | 22.5% | 28.3% | $133,660 | 30 | exposed |
| Wind Energy Development Managers | 47.0% | 24.6% | 28.3% | $141,900 | 15 | exposed |
| Computer and Information Systems Managers | 46.9% | 28.3% | 24.8% | $175,140 | 17 | exposed |
| Chief Sustainability Officers | 45.8% | 27.0% | 27.3% | $213,990 | 18 | exposed |
| Public Relations Managers | 45.8% | 23.7% | 30.5% | $146,910 | 20 | exposed |
| Financial Managers | 45.2% | 28.4% | 26.3% | $166,570 | 17 | exposed |
| Fundraising Managers | 45.2% | 26.4% | 28.4% | $125,470 | 16 | exposed |
| Emergency Management Directors | 45.0% | 28.1% | 26.9% | $93,330 | 23 | exposed |
| Administrative Services Managers | 44.7% | 27.3% | 28.0% | $114,130 | 18 | exposed |
| Postmasters and Mail Superintendents | 44.5% | 26.1% | 29.4% | $96,660 | 13 | exposed |
| Spa Managers | 44.3% | 24.5% | 31.2% | $69,770 | 21 | exposed |
| Purchasing Managers | 43.9% | 26.2% | 29.9% | $148,080 | 18 | exposed |
| Investment Fund Managers | 43.9% | 27.6% | 28.5% | $166,570 | 20 | exposed |
| Funeral Home Managers | 43.6% | 24.8% | 31.6% | $78,790 | 23 | exposed |
| Regulatory Affairs Managers | 43.5% | 26.0% | 30.4% | $141,900 | 27 | exposed |
| Food Service Managers | 43.3% | 24.8% | 31.9% | $69,390 | 28 | exposed |
| Supply Chain Managers | 43.0% | 23.8% | 33.2% | $107,230 | 30 | exposed |
| Compliance Managers | 42.9% | 31.6% | 25.5% | $141,900 | 29 | exposed |
| Quality Control Systems Managers | 42.8% | 22.4% | 34.8% | $126,060 | 27 | exposed |
| Lodging Managers | 42.6% | 23.2% | 34.2% | $69,250 | 24 | exposed |
| Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers | 42.0% | 26.0% | 32.0% | $69,990 | 26 | exposed |
| Gambling Managers | 41.8% | 25.5% | 32.7% | $93,220 | 19 | exposed |
| Training and Development Managers | 41.8% | 26.5% | 31.7% | $133,000 | 12 | exposed |
| Compensation and Benefits Managers | 41.6% | 28.6% | 29.7% | $149,230 | 22 | exposed |
| Industrial Production Managers | 41.5% | 24.9% | 33.6% | $126,060 | 21 | exposed |
| Natural Sciences Managers | 41.4% | 28.4% | 30.3% | $167,220 | 16 | exposed |
| Entertainment and Recreation Managers, Except Gambling | 41.2% | 23.0% | 35.8% | $79,520 | 17 | exposed |
| Water Resource Specialists | 41.0% | 24.8% | 34.2% | $167,220 | 21 | exposed |
| Wind Energy Operations Managers | 40.1% | 25.7% | 34.2% | $141,900 | 16 | exposed |
| Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary | 39.9% | 26.4% | 33.7% | $105,870 | 32 | exposed |
| Medical and Health Services Managers | 39.7% | 25.7% | 34.6% | $123,860 | 18 | exposed |
| Treasurers and Controllers | 39.6% | 27.4% | 33.0% | $166,570 | 22 | exposed |
| Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare | 39.4% | 26.4% | 34.2% | $59,300 | 17 | exposed |
| Fitness and Wellness Coordinators | 38.8% | 23.8% | 37.4% | $69,770 | 24 | exposed |
| Social and Community Service Managers | 38.3% | 25.8% | 35.9% | $80,390 | 16 | exposed |
| Brownfield Redevelopment Specialists and Site Managers | 38.3% | 25.2% | 36.5% | $141,900 | 23 | exposed |
| Geothermal Production Managers | 37.9% | 23.4% | 38.6% | $126,060 | 17 | exposed |
| Architectural and Engineering Managers | 37.9% | 27.1% | 35.0% | $171,270 | 19 | exposed |
| Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers | 37.7% | 23.6% | 38.7% | $107,230 | 30 | exposed |
| Chief Executives | 37.5% | 25.9% | 36.6% | $213,990 | 31 | exposed |
| Facilities Managers | 37.1% | 24.4% | 38.4% | $106,660 | 11 | exposed |
| Construction Managers | 37.1% | 25.9% | 36.9% | $114,990 | 25 | exposed |
| Sales Managers | 36.9% | 25.0% | 38.1% | $148,270 | 17 | exposed |
| Education Administrators, Postsecondary | 36.8% | 25.9% | 37.4% | $104,590 | 27 | exposed |
| Security Managers | 36.4% | 27.7% | 36.0% | $106,660 | 28 | exposed |
| General and Operations Managers | 36.3% | 26.6% | 37.1% | $105,770 | 17 | exposed |
| Legislators | 35.2% | 23.1% | 41.7% | n/a | 30 | exposed |
| Biofuels/Biodiesel Technology and Product Development Managers | 34.8% | 21.7% | 43.5% | $171,270 | 18 | exposed |
| Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers | 34.1% | 23.5% | 42.4% | $89,900 | 30 | exposed |
| Biomass Power Plant Managers | 34.0% | 21.8% | 44.3% | $126,060 | 19 | exposed |
| Loss Prevention Managers | 33.6% | 28.4% | 38.0% | $141,900 | 27 | exposed |
| Human Resources Managers | 33.0% | 28.3% | 38.7% | $149,280 | 26 | exposed |
| Biofuels Production Managers | 32.6% | 21.4% | 46.0% | $126,060 | 14 | exposed |
| Hydroelectric Production Managers | 29.4% | 24.5% | 46.1% | $126,060 | 18 | assisted |
Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.