The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 11-9199.10 · Job Zone 4

AI exposure: Wind Energy Development Managers

Lead or manage the development and evaluation of potential wind energy business opportunities, including environmental studies, permitting, and proposals. May also manage construction of projects.

Reading this score

computed

47.0% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Wind Energy Development Managers at the 85th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.9 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 15 tasks it averages 2.10 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Provide verbal or written project status reports to project teams, management, subcontractors,..., at 73.3%. The least is Supervise the work of subcontractors or consultants to ensure quality and conformance to..., at 11.7%. A gap of 61.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within management occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 56 roles in the group is 41.2%, and only 3 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 15 tasks, 12 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 2 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take cheaper ways to verify output, since the cost of checking is currently doing more to hold this work in place than the cost of producing it. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

15 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Provide verbal or written project status reports to project teams, management, subcontractors, customers, or owners.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.81exposed
Prepare or assist in the preparation of applications for environmental, building, or other required permits.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.63exposed
Prepare wind project documentation, including diagrams or layouts.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.47exposed
Prepare requests for proposals (RFPs) for wind project construction or equipment acquisition.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.34exposed
Manage wind project costs to stay within budget limits.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.07exposed
Create wind energy project plans, including project scope, goals, tasks, resources, schedules, costs, contingencies, or other project information.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.99exposed
Develop scope of work for wind project functions, such as design, site assessment, environmental studies, surveying, or field support services.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.82exposed
Update schedules, estimates, forecasts, or budgets for wind projects.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.79exposed
Review or evaluate proposals or bids to make recommendations regarding awarding of contracts.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.62exposed
Review civil design, engineering, or construction technical documentation to ensure compliance with applicable government or industrial codes, standards, requirements, or regulations.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.42exposed
Provide technical support for the design, construction, or commissioning of wind farm projects.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.23exposed
Manage site assessments or environmental studies for wind fields.26.7%23.3%50.0%3.52exposed
Lead or support negotiations involving tax agreements or abatements, power purchase agreements, land use, or interconnection agreements.20.0%30.0%50.0%4.04assisted
Coordinate or direct development, energy assessment, engineering, or construction activities to ensure that wind project needs and objectives are met.15.0%22.5%62.5%4.11untouched
Supervise the work of subcontractors or consultants to ensure quality and conformance to specifications or budgets.11.7%13.3%75.0%3.95untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.900-4
Embodiment0.130-3
Presence0.670-3
Accountability1.100-3
Context2.100-3
Verification cost1.600-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.