AI exposure: Training and Development Managers
Plan, direct, or coordinate the training and development activities and staff of an organization.
Reading this score
computed41.8% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Training and Development Managers at the 74th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.8 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.
What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 12 tasks it averages 2.07 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.
The most exposed thing this job does is Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials, at 76.7%. The least is Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, at 23.3%. A gap of 53.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.
Within management occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 56 roles in the group is 41.2%, and only 24 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.
What would move this score. Of 12 tasks, 11 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 0 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take systems being given deeper access to the organisation's own records and history, which is already happening. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.
Task by task
12 tasks, O*NET 31.0| Task | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Importance | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials. | 76.7% | 23.3% | 0.0% | 4.08 | exposed |
| Prepare training budget for department or organization. | 55.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 4.00 | exposed |
| Develop testing and evaluation procedures. | 55.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 3.78 | exposed |
| Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors. | 47.5% | 27.5% | 25.0% | 4.29 | exposed |
| Analyze training needs to develop new training programs or modify and improve existing programs. | 45.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% | 4.61 | exposed |
| Review and evaluate training and apprenticeship programs for compliance with government standards. | 40.0% | 35.0% | 25.0% | 3.26 | exposed |
| Coordinate established courses with technical and professional courses provided by community schools, and designate training procedures. | 40.0% | 35.0% | 25.0% | 2.81 | exposed |
| Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement. | 38.3% | 36.7% | 25.0% | 4.36 | exposed |
| Conduct orientation sessions and arrange on-the-job training for new hires. | 26.7% | 23.3% | 50.0% | 4.19 | exposed |
| Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees. | 26.7% | 23.3% | 50.0% | 4.15 | exposed |
| Conduct or arrange for ongoing technical training and personal development classes for staff members. | 26.7% | 23.3% | 50.0% | 3.65 | exposed |
| Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, using knowledge of the effectiveness of methods such as classroom training, demonstrations, on-the-job training, meetings, conferences, and workshops. | 23.3% | 26.7% | 50.0% | 4.36 | assisted |
Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.
Where the score comes from
judgedEvery task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.
| Dimension | Mean | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Capability | 2.75 | 0-4 |
| Embodiment | 0.54 | 0-3 |
| Presence | 1.24 | 0-3 |
| Accountability | 0.90 | 0-3 |
| Context | 2.07 | 0-3 |
| Verification cost | 1.36 | 0-3 |
What this means in practice
Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.
Occupations either side of this one
The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.
Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.