The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
List

AI proof jobs at every pay level

Occupations with a published median wage, outside the exposed band, split into five pay bands; the ten lowest exposed shares in each. Release v2026.Q3, capability reference date 2026-09-15, built on O*NET 31.0.

Whatever you earn now, there is work at the same pay that current systems cannot do. This puts one short list at each level, so the answer is not only for people who can retrain for a six figure job.

Under $40,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Dishwashers0.0%0.0%$34,810923untouched
2Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers0.8%0.8%$38,300916untouched
3Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials4.2%2.2%$35,060886untouched
4Tire Repairers and Changers4.4%3.1%$37,710884untouched
5Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians4.8%7.2%$35,450878untouched
6Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners5.4%3.3%$35,510869untouched
7Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products6.5%3.2%$35,730859untouched
8Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers6.6%2.1%$33,980858untouched
9Cooks, Fast Food6.6%2.8%$30,890856untouched
10Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals6.6%6.1%$36,670855untouched

$40,000 to $60,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Stonemasons0.0%0.0%$57,390922untouched
2Plasterers and Stucco Masons0.0%0.0%$57,660921untouched
3Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons0.0%0.0%$40,470920untouched
4Slaughterers and Meat Packers0.0%0.0%$40,130918untouched
5Roustabouts, Oil and Gas0.5%0.7%$46,960917untouched
6Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers0.8%1.9%$57,020915untouched
7Tire Builders1.0%0.5%$57,390913untouched
8Foundry Mold and Coremakers1.1%0.5%$48,110912untouched
9Highway Maintenance Workers1.2%2.0%$50,260911untouched
10Floor Sanders and Finishers1.2%2.5%$50,440910untouched

$60,000 to $80,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons0.0%0.0%$61,290919untouched
2Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators1.0%1.2%$70,070914untouched
3Pile Driver Operators2.0%3.0%$73,300904untouched
4Structural Iron and Steel Workers2.6%2.2%$62,780900untouched
5Roof Bolters, Mining2.8%4.5%$78,540898untouched
6Terrazzo Workers and Finishers2.8%1.0%$76,170897untouched
7Tapers3.0%2.8%$68,270894untouched
8Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers3.4%2.4%$65,380892untouched
9Boilermakers4.6%4.8%$76,410881untouched
10Millwrights4.7%3.3%$65,700879untouched

$80,000 to $100,000

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers5.1%5.9%$95,320872untouched
2Signal and Track Switch Repairers11.3%10.1%$92,460771untouched
3Orthotists and Prosthetists12.2%17.9%$81,110752untouched
4Respiratory Therapists13.1%20.6%$82,280732untouched
5Police Identification and Records Officers13.5%12.7%$93,790726untouched
6Critical Care Nurses15.0%23.6%$97,550709untouched
7Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment15.3%8.6%$84,890702untouched
8Transit and Railroad Police15.7%21.1%$90,230693untouched
9Detectives and Criminal Investigators17.3%20.4%$93,790657untouched
10Acute Care Nurses17.4%27.4%$97,550655untouched

$100,000 and over

#OccupationExposedAssistedMedian payRank of 923Band
1Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons4.1%12.3%$352,220887untouched
2Prosthodontists4.6%10.1%$311,180882untouched
3Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates8.2%10.7%$153,990823untouched
4Optometrists9.3%22.2%$136,570809untouched
5Dentists, General10.0%13.4%$170,950794untouched
6Anesthesiologist Assistants10.2%11.1%$135,880791untouched
7Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers10.3%9.3%$109,910788untouched
8Nurse Anesthetists10.7%15.1%$236,590784untouched
9Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Physicians11.9%27.3%$265,930758untouched
10Urologists13.0%21.7%$265,930734untouched

How to read this

Exposed is the share of an occupation’s weighted task load that a generally available AI system can produce today with little structural friction. Assisted is work it can produce but cannot finish alone, because somebody has to be present, accountable, or because checking the output costs as much as doing the work. Untouched is work it cannot produce at all.

Every figure here is computed from task level ratings, and every occupation links to the page that shows its own tasks. If a rating looks wrong, the task is the level to argue at: how this is measured.

Questions about this list

What is the least exposed job at each pay level?

Under $40,000: Dishwashers, 0.0% exposed. $40,000 to $60,000: Stonemasons, 0.0% exposed. $60,000 to $80,000: Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons, 0.0% exposed. $80,000 to $100,000: Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers, 5.1% exposed. $100,000 and over: Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons, 4.1% exposed. Release v2026.Q3.

How is this list decided?

Occupations with a published median wage, outside the exposed band, split into five pay bands; the ten lowest exposed shares in each. Scores come from rating every standardised work activity in each occupation against a published rubric, not from rating the occupation as a whole.

Does a high score mean the job disappears?

No. Exposure is not displacement. This measures what current systems can produce and what structurally stands in the way, not what an employer will do about it.

Other cuts of the same data

Exposure is not displacement. This index measures what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. It does not forecast job losses, and it models no adoption, employment or wage effect.