The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 51-9197.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Tire Builders

Operate machines to build tires.

Reading this score

computed

Tire Builders is among the least exposed occupations measured, at 1.0% of weighted task load, rank 913 of 923. 98.5% of this job is work current AI systems cannot produce at all. That is not a statement about skill or value. It is a statement about what these systems can and cannot do.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 20 tasks it averages 3.00 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Inspect worn tires for faults, cracks, cuts, and nail holes, and to determine if tires are..., at 16.7%. The least is Pull plies from supply racks, and align plies with edges of drums, at 0.0%. A gap of 16.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within production occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 16.2% across the group's 107 roles, with 104 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 20 tasks, 0 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 20 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability0.050-4
Embodiment3.000-3
Presence0.000-3
Accountability0.300-3
Context0.420-3
Verification cost1.050-3

Task by task

20 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Inspect worn tires for faults, cracks, cuts, and nail holes, and to determine if tires are suitable for retreading.16.7%8.3%75.0%4.54untouched
Build semi-raw rubber treads onto buffed tire casings to prepare tires for vulcanization in recapping or retreading processes.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.60untouched
Trim excess rubber and imperfections during retreading processes.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.47untouched
Fill cuts and holes in tires, using hot rubber.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.39untouched
Place tires into molds for new tread.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.85untouched
Fit inner tubes and final layers of rubber onto tires.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.82untouched
Buff tires according to specifications for width and undertread depth.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.72untouched
Brush or spray solvents onto plies to ensure adhesion, and repeat process as specified, alternating direction of each ply to strengthen tires.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.59untouched
Start rollers that bond tread and plies as drums revolve.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.57untouched
Align treads with guides, start drums to wind treads onto plies, and slice ends.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.56untouched
Measure tires to determine mold size requirements.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.52untouched
Roll hand rollers over rebuilt casings, exerting pressure to ensure adhesion between camelbacks and casings.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.40untouched
Position ply stitcher rollers and drums according to width of stock, using hand tools and gauges.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.37untouched
Cut plies at splice points, and press ends together to form continuous bands.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.36untouched
Depress pedals to rotate drums, and wind specified numbers of plies around drums to form tire bodies.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.31untouched
Clean and paint completed tires.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.27untouched
Rub cement sticks on drum edges to provide adhesive surfaces for plies.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.14untouched
Depress pedals to collapse drums after processing is complete.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.03untouched
Wind chafers and breakers onto plies.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.96untouched
Pull plies from supply racks, and align plies with edges of drums.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.45untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.