The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupational family

AI exposure in life, physical and social science occupations

60 occupations, 1,236 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 9 of 22 by median exposed share.

36.0%
median exposed share computed
60
occupations in the family
1.5M
US jobs in this family sourced
$88,720
median of the family’s median wages

Reading this family

computed

The median life, physical and social science occupation has 36.0% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 11.7 points above the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 32.9%, across 1,465,820 US workers. 44 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 2 in assisted and 14 in untouched.

What holds the line across this family is context, at 1.90 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is knowing things a model cannot hold. The work runs on private, tacit or real-time organisational knowledge. This is the friction most likely to erode, because context is a plumbing problem rather than a law.

The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. Remote Sensing Technicians sits at 52.4%. Nuclear Technicians sits at 14.6%. Both are life, physical and social science occupations, and 37.7 points separate them.

Where the family score comes from

judged

Means across all 1,236 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.360-4
Embodiment1.070-3
Presence0.820-3
Accountability1.240-3
Context1.900-3
Verification cost1.860-3

Every life, physical and social science occupation

See them on the chart
OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedMedian payTasksBand
Remote Sensing Technicians52.4%22.5%25.1%$62,28021exposed
Climate Change Policy Analysts52.1%29.7%18.2%$82,22014exposed
Social Science Research Assistants51.0%24.3%24.7%$61,99022exposed
Transportation Planners48.3%29.1%22.6%$101,11022exposed
Historians47.7%23.8%28.5%$76,75021exposed
Physicists47.6%22.3%30.1%$172,25016exposed
Environmental Economists47.5%27.0%25.4%$124,72020exposed
Precision Agriculture Technicians47.4%25.4%27.1%$49,63022exposed
Industrial Ecologists47.1%28.2%24.7%$82,22038exposed
Political Scientists46.1%23.7%30.2%$142,08014exposed
Urban and Regional Planners45.3%28.3%26.4%$89,32025exposed
Survey Researchers44.8%25.0%30.3%$69,46016exposed
Economists44.5%24.0%31.5%$124,72014exposed
Bioinformatics Scientists44.2%24.7%31.1%$98,92020exposed
Hydrologic Technicians43.3%22.3%34.4%$64,79016exposed
Atmospheric and Space Scientists42.9%25.6%31.5%$99,07027exposed
Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers42.6%24.5%32.9%$101,92032exposed
Animal Scientists42.6%27.0%30.5%$68,9409exposed
Remote Sensing Scientists and Technologists42.4%23.1%34.5%$122,57024exposed
Environmental Restoration Planners41.5%26.7%31.8%$82,22023exposed
Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health41.2%28.7%30.1%$82,22022exposed
Biologists40.0%24.2%35.8%$98,92022exposed
Industrial-Organizational Psychologists39.7%25.4%34.9%$193,95025exposed
Sociologists39.3%24.7%35.9%$106,03015exposed
Astronomers39.1%21.7%39.1%$128,82017exposed
Park Naturalists38.1%20.8%41.1%$73,01020exposed
Quality Control Analysts37.9%23.6%38.5%$62,28026exposed
Hydrologists37.6%25.2%37.2%$96,60025exposed
Materials Scientists36.7%23.2%40.1%$117,79016exposed
Epidemiologists36.3%28.8%34.9%$87,22016exposed
Zoologists and Wildlife Biologists35.8%24.7%39.6%$76,78014exposed
Soil and Plant Scientists35.7%27.1%37.2%$78,85027exposed
Geneticists35.7%24.5%39.8%$98,92024exposed
School Psychologists35.5%25.0%39.5%$95,99019exposed
Food Scientists and Technologists34.7%22.4%42.9%$88,72013exposed
Molecular and Cellular Biologists33.9%24.4%41.6%$98,92022exposed
Conservation Scientists33.5%26.4%40.1%$73,01030exposed
Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists32.6%28.5%38.9%$103,41014assisted
Geographers31.2%21.7%47.1%$102,04012exposed
Range Managers30.3%24.8%44.9%$73,01018exposed
Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health30.3%22.8%46.9%$55,09025exposed
Anthropologists and Archeologists29.9%23.1%46.9%$70,77030exposed
Biochemists and Biophysicists29.6%23.5%46.9%$127,41024exposed
Geological Technicians, Except Hydrologic Technicians29.3%21.3%49.4%$53,35029exposed
Clinical and Counseling Psychologists27.4%27.8%44.8%$100,58030assisted
Foresters27.2%25.0%47.8%$76,40025exposed
Chemists26.8%22.9%50.3%$91,24012untouched
Chemical Technicians23.9%17.8%58.3%$60,39016untouched
Biological Technicians23.8%19.1%57.1%$57,51018untouched
Forest and Conservation Technicians22.5%20.1%57.4%$54,56020untouched
Occupational Health and Safety Specialists22.0%24.4%53.6%$90,15022untouched
Microbiologists21.9%22.9%55.2%$87,99014untouched
Food Science Technicians20.7%18.6%60.7%$52,13016untouched
Occupational Health and Safety Technicians20.7%27.2%52.1%$61,56026untouched
Nuclear Monitoring Technicians19.8%16.7%63.5%$110,24016untouched
Agricultural Technicians19.5%15.2%65.3%$49,63026untouched
Neuropsychologists19.3%25.6%55.1%$110,84014untouched
Clinical Neuropsychologists16.8%27.2%56.0%$110,84018untouched
Forensic Science Technicians15.6%26.3%58.1%$72,06024untouched
Nuclear Technicians14.6%20.5%64.8%$110,24018untouched

Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.