AI exposure in personal care and service occupations
31 occupations, 617 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 12 of 22 by median exposed share.
Reading this family
computedThe median personal care and service occupation has 23.8% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 0.5 points below the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 25.6%, across 3,120,670 US workers. 9 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 0 in assisted and 22 in untouched.
What holds the line across this family is embodiment, at 1.72 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is a body in a place. The work happens to physical objects in physical rooms. No amount of model capability reaches it, because the bottleneck is hands rather than reasoning.
The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. Concierges sits at 60.1%. Embalmers sits at 5.3%. Both are personal care and service occupations, and 54.7 points separate them.
Where the family score comes from
judgedMeans across all 617 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.
| Dimension | Mean | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Capability | 1.61 | 0-4 |
| Embodiment | 1.72 | 0-3 |
| Presence | 1.59 | 0-3 |
| Accountability | 0.90 | 0-3 |
| Context | 1.41 | 0-3 |
| Verification cost | 1.08 | 0-3 |
Every personal care and service occupation
See them on the chart| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Median pay | Tasks | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concierges | 60.1% | 16.0% | 24.0% | $38,950 | 18 | exposed |
| First-Line Supervisors of Personal Service Workers | 41.0% | 27.2% | 31.8% | $48,590 | 17 | exposed |
| First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services | 39.5% | 26.0% | 34.6% | $48,560 | 19 | exposed |
| Travel Guides | 38.7% | 18.3% | 43.0% | n/a | 17 | exposed |
| Amusement and Recreation Attendants | 38.2% | 20.2% | 41.6% | $32,150 | 17 | exposed |
| Costume Attendants | 35.4% | 18.0% | 46.6% | $50,400 | 21 | exposed |
| Tour Guides and Escorts | 34.8% | 18.5% | 46.6% | n/a | 19 | exposed |
| Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers | 33.0% | 15.9% | 51.1% | $32,910 | 23 | untouched |
| Recreation Workers | 31.5% | 21.8% | 46.7% | $36,560 | 24 | exposed |
| First-Line Supervisors of Gambling Services Workers | 29.6% | 22.1% | 48.3% | $63,820 | 30 | exposed |
| Gambling and Sports Book Writers and Runners | 29.6% | 18.5% | 51.9% | $34,980 | 17 | untouched |
| Residential Advisors | 29.5% | 17.9% | 52.7% | $42,240 | 30 | untouched |
| Locker Room, Coatroom, and Dressing Room Attendants | 27.0% | 10.0% | 63.0% | $36,300 | 24 | untouched |
| Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance | 26.4% | 13.3% | 60.2% | $97,150 | 22 | untouched |
| Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors | 25.0% | 18.4% | 56.6% | $47,160 | 20 | untouched |
| Shampooers | 23.8% | 15.5% | 60.7% | $32,600 | 4 | untouched |
| Crematory Operators | 23.1% | 10.2% | 66.7% | $43,650 | 12 | untouched |
| Gambling Dealers | 22.4% | 13.7% | 63.9% | $34,320 | 21 | untouched |
| Baggage Porters and Bellhops | 20.8% | 8.4% | 70.8% | $37,080 | 17 | untouched |
| Barbers | 19.9% | 11.4% | 68.7% | $38,210 | 20 | untouched |
| Morticians, Undertakers, and Funeral Arrangers | 19.8% | 11.1% | 69.1% | $55,010 | 22 | untouched |
| Motion Picture Projectionists | 19.8% | 11.9% | 68.4% | $38,270 | 17 | untouched |
| Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists | 18.9% | 8.3% | 72.8% | $35,790 | 20 | untouched |
| Animal Caretakers | 18.2% | 10.0% | 71.8% | $35,360 | 22 | untouched |
| Animal Trainers | 16.5% | 14.6% | 68.9% | $39,990 | 15 | untouched |
| Funeral Attendants | 16.2% | 7.8% | 75.9% | $35,680 | 24 | untouched |
| Childcare Workers | 16.2% | 13.9% | 69.9% | $34,980 | 24 | untouched |
| Nannies | 15.6% | 15.3% | 69.1% | $34,980 | 19 | untouched |
| Skincare Specialists | 13.0% | 11.1% | 75.9% | $45,330 | 18 | untouched |
| Manicurists and Pedicurists | 12.1% | 5.6% | 82.3% | $35,760 | 18 | untouched |
| Embalmers | 5.3% | 4.2% | 90.5% | $58,780 | 26 | untouched |
Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.