The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 39-5011.00 · Job Zone 3

AI exposure: Barbers

Provide barbering services, such as cutting, trimming, shampooing, and styling hair; trimming beards; or giving shaves.

Reading this score

computed

At 19.9% of weighted task load, Barbers sits at the 36th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 68.7% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 20 tasks it averages 1.91 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Order supplies, at 80.0%. The least is Measure, fit, and groom hairpieces, at 0.0%. A gap of 80.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within personal care and service occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 24.4% across the group's 31 roles, with 19 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 20 tasks, 6 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 13 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.230-4
Embodiment1.910-3
Presence1.590-3
Accountability0.950-3
Context1.130-3
Verification cost0.980-3

Task by task

20 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Order supplies.80.0%20.0%0.0%3.89exposed
Keep card files on clientele, recording notes of work done, products used and fees charged after each visit.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.08exposed
Record services provided on cashiers' tickets or receive payment from customers.60.0%40.0%0.0%4.41exposed
Question patrons regarding desired services and haircut styles.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.86exposed
Recommend and sell lotions, tonics, or other cosmetic supplies.41.7%20.8%37.5%3.50exposed
Suggest treatments to alleviate hair problems.35.0%40.0%25.0%3.81assisted
Perform clerical and administrative duties such as keeping records, paying bills, and hiring and supervising personnel.33.7%24.6%41.7%4.17exposed
Stay informed of the latest styles and hair care techniques.13.3%11.7%75.0%4.00untouched
Identify hair problems, using microscopes and testing devices, or by sending clients' hair samples out to independent laboratories for analysis.7.0%9.6%83.3%3.30untouched
Clean and sterilize scissors, combs, clippers, and other instruments.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.93untouched
Cut and trim hair according to clients' instructions or current hairstyles, using clippers, combs, hand-held blow driers, and scissors.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.86untouched
Clean work stations and sweep floors.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.76untouched
Drape and pin protective cloths around customers' shoulders.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.75untouched
Apply lather and shave beards or neck and temple hair contours, using razors.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.55untouched
Shape and trim beards and moustaches, using scissors.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.36untouched
Shampoo hair.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.93untouched
Curl, color, or straighten hair, using special chemical solutions and equipment.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.70untouched
Provide face, neck, and scalp massages.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.54untouched
Provide skin care and nail treatments.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.05untouched
Measure, fit, and groom hairpieces.0.0%0.0%100.0%2.78untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.