The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 39-5093.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Shampooers

Shampoo and rinse customers' hair.

Reading this score

computed

At 23.8% of weighted task load, Shampooers sits at the 44th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 60.7% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is presence. Across this occupation's 4 tasks it averages 2.00 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, a person has to be the one present. This is the friction software does not erode. Where the point of the act is that a human is there, to care or to witness or to take responsibility in the room, automating the output misses what was being paid for.

The most exposed thing this job does is Maintain treatment records, at 73.3%. The least is Treat scalp conditions and hair loss, at 0.0%. A gap of 73.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within personal care and service occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 24.1% across the group's 31 roles, with 15 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 4 tasks, 1 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 2 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.750-4
Embodiment1.500-3
Presence2.000-3
Accountability1.250-3
Context1.500-3
Verification cost1.250-3

Task by task

4 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Maintain treatment records.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.57exposed
Advise patrons with chronic or potentially contagious scalp conditions to seek medical treatment.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.74assisted
Massage, shampoo, and condition patron's hair and scalp to clean them and remove excess oil.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.80untouched
Treat scalp conditions and hair loss, using specialized lotions, shampoos, or equipment such as infrared lamps or vibrating equipment.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.13untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.