Occupational Therapists vs Registered Nurses
Occupational Therapists carries the higher exposed share at 22.7% against 20.4%, a gap of 2.3 points. The difference is driven by friction: the work is similarly producible in both, and what differs is what stands in the way of letting a machine finish it. Release v2026.Q3.
| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Capability | Friction | Median pay | Rank | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Occupational Therapists | 22.7% | 27.6% | 49.7% | 0.50 | 0.58 | $100,330 | 535 | assisted |
| Registered Nurses | 20.4% | 27.9% | 51.7% | 0.48 | 0.66 | $97,550 | 585 | untouched |
What stands in the way, in each
Occupational Therapists: the dominant friction is that checking the output costs about as much as producing it. Capability sits at 0.50 of 1 and friction at 0.58 of 1.
Registered Nurses: the dominant friction is that checking the output costs about as much as producing it. Capability sits at 0.48 of 1 and friction at 0.66 of 1.
Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.
Read each in full
Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.