The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Comparison

General and Operations Managers vs Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

General and Operations Managers carries the higher exposed share at 36.3% against 34.1%, a gap of 2.3 points. The difference is driven by capability: a current system can simply produce more of the first job's work product than the second's. Release v2026.Q3.

OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedCapabilityFrictionMedian payRankBand
General and Operations Managers36.3%26.6%37.1%0.630.45$105,770338exposed
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers34.1%23.5%42.4%0.580.44$89,900382exposed

What stands in the way, in each

General and Operations Managers: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.63 of 1 and friction at 0.45 of 1.

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.58 of 1 and friction at 0.44 of 1.

Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.

Read each in full

Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.