Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare vs General and Operations Managers
Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare carries the higher exposed share at 39.4% against 36.3%, a gap of 3.1 points. The difference is driven by both capability and friction: the two jobs differ in what a system can produce and in what stops it, by roughly the same amount. Release v2026.Q3.
| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Capability | Friction | Median pay | Rank | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare | 39.4% | 26.4% | 34.2% | 0.66 | 0.43 | $59,300 | 282 | exposed |
| General and Operations Managers | 36.3% | 26.6% | 37.1% | 0.63 | 0.45 | $105,770 | 338 | exposed |
What stands in the way, in each
Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.66 of 1 and friction at 0.43 of 1.
General and Operations Managers: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.63 of 1 and friction at 0.45 of 1.
Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.
Read each in full
Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.