The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupational family

AI exposure in architecture and engineering occupations

56 occupations, 1,237 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 7 of 22 by median exposed share.

37.5%
median exposed share computed
56
occupations in the family
2.6M
US jobs in this family sourced
$99,280
median of the family’s median wages

Reading this family

computed

The median architecture and engineering occupation has 37.5% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 13.2 points above the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 37.2%, across 2,602,660 US workers. 46 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 3 in assisted and 7 in untouched.

What holds the line across this family is context, at 1.88 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is knowing things a model cannot hold. The work runs on private, tacit or real-time organisational knowledge. This is the friction most likely to erode, because context is a plumbing problem rather than a law.

The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. Geodetic Surveyors sits at 47.5%. Robotics Technicians sits at 21.8%. Both are architecture and engineering occupations, and 25.7 points separate them.

Where the family score comes from

judged

Means across all 1,237 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.410-4
Embodiment0.990-3
Presence0.510-3
Accountability1.440-3
Context1.880-3
Verification cost1.820-3

Every architecture and engineering occupation

See them on the chart
OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedMedian payTasksBand
Geodetic Surveyors47.5%21.8%30.7%$75,44016exposed
Industrial Engineers44.4%29.6%26.0%$102,44020exposed
Electronics Engineers, Except Computer43.0%26.4%30.5%$130,22020exposed
Energy Engineers, Except Wind and Solar42.9%24.0%33.2%$122,93021exposed
Bioengineers and Biomedical Engineers42.8%27.2%30.0%$109,37030exposed
Architectural and Civil Drafters42.7%23.1%34.2%$66,15026exposed
Computer Hardware Engineers42.7%25.5%31.8%$161,74018exposed
Fire-Prevention and Protection Engineers42.2%27.5%30.3%$115,16014exposed
Manufacturing Engineers41.9%26.8%31.3%$102,44024exposed
Landscape Architects41.6%26.3%32.1%$79,87019exposed
Mechanical Drafters41.6%23.0%35.4%$71,55016exposed
Automotive Engineers40.5%27.1%32.4%$104,11025exposed
Mining and Geological Engineers, Including Mining Safety Engineers40.5%25.9%33.6%$106,22018exposed
Radio Frequency Identification Device Specialists39.9%23.1%37.0%$130,22021exposed
Water/Wastewater Engineers39.8%27.9%32.4%$100,84028exposed
Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians39.7%24.7%35.6%$64,95014exposed
Environmental Engineers39.4%25.3%35.3%$107,11029exposed
Electrical and Electronics Drafters38.9%25.3%35.8%$76,87030exposed
Transportation Engineers38.9%27.4%33.7%$100,84026exposed
Photonics Engineers38.8%23.2%38.0%$122,93026exposed
Mechanical Engineering Technologists and Technicians38.4%23.6%38.0%$74,51030exposed
Surveyors38.2%21.7%40.0%$75,44024exposed
Aerospace Engineers37.9%26.3%35.8%$134,96014exposed
Solar Energy Systems Engineers37.8%24.4%37.8%$122,93013exposed
Microsystems Engineers37.7%27.5%34.7%$122,93031exposed
Fuel Cell Engineers37.6%26.8%35.6%$104,11026exposed
Petroleum Engineers37.5%26.6%35.9%$144,91023exposed
Marine Engineers and Naval Architects37.5%25.2%37.3%$112,23030exposed
Architects, Except Landscape and Naval37.5%26.7%35.9%$99,28025exposed
Validation Engineers37.4%26.8%35.8%$102,44021exposed
Robotics Engineers37.2%25.6%37.2%$122,93024exposed
Chemical Engineers36.8%28.5%34.7%$125,04014exposed
Mechanical Engineers36.6%27.1%36.3%$104,11028exposed
Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technologists and Technicians36.5%21.9%41.6%$78,19028exposed
Human Factors Engineers and Ergonomists36.3%28.5%35.2%$102,44026exposed
Nuclear Engineers36.2%26.7%37.1%$133,97020exposed
Calibration Technologists and Technicians36.0%17.2%46.8%$67,82014exposed
Mechatronics Engineers35.6%25.0%39.4%$122,93023exposed
Materials Engineers35.2%24.9%39.8%$112,86021exposed
Nanosystems Engineers34.3%23.3%42.4%$122,93025exposed
Surveying and Mapping Technicians34.3%17.6%48.1%$54,24030exposed
Agricultural Engineers34.2%26.4%39.4%$98,59014exposed
Cartographers and Photogrammetrists34.0%17.8%48.2%$81,39014exposed
Industrial Engineering Technologists and Technicians34.0%25.1%40.9%$66,12030exposed
Automotive Engineering Technicians33.0%20.5%46.5%$74,51018exposed
Wind Energy Engineers31.2%24.8%43.9%$122,93016assisted
Environmental Engineering Technologists and Technicians30.9%18.7%50.3%$59,92023untouched
Electrical Engineers30.9%24.0%45.1%$120,63022exposed
Health and Safety Engineers, Except Mining Safety Engineers and Inspectors29.0%26.6%44.4%$115,16027assisted
Civil Engineers28.6%24.8%46.6%$100,84016assisted
Aerospace Engineering and Operations Technologists and Technicians28.0%19.9%52.1%$82,89011untouched
Non-Destructive Testing Specialists27.9%18.8%53.3%$78,35016untouched
Nanotechnology Engineering Technologists and Technicians27.5%20.6%51.9%$66,12025untouched
Electro-Mechanical and Mechatronics Technologists and Technicians26.9%17.8%55.3%$73,90028untouched
Photonics Technicians24.0%15.0%61.0%$78,35024untouched
Robotics Technicians21.8%16.4%61.8%$73,90022untouched

Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.