The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 17-2061.00 · Job Zone 4

AI exposure: Computer Hardware Engineers

Research, design, develop, or test computer or computer-related equipment for commercial, industrial, military, or scientific use. May supervise the manufacturing and installation of computer or computer-related equipment and components.

Reading this score

computed

42.7% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Computer Hardware Engineers at the 76th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.7 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 18 tasks it averages 1.86 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Write detailed functional specifications that document the hardware development process and..., at 73.3%. The least is Assemble and modify existing pieces of equipment to meet special needs, at 0.0%. A gap of 73.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within architecture and engineering occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 56 roles in the group is 37.5%, and only 6 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 18 tasks, 11 are currently banded exposed, 4 assisted and 3 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take cheaper ways to verify output, since the cost of checking is currently doing more to hold this work in place than the cost of producing it. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

18 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Write detailed functional specifications that document the hardware development process and support hardware introduction.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.00exposed
Analyze user needs and recommend appropriate hardware.70.0%30.0%0.0%3.63exposed
Store, retrieve, and manipulate data for analysis of system capabilities and requirements.66.7%33.3%0.0%3.66exposed
Evaluate factors such as reporting formats required, cost constraints, and need for security restrictions to determine hardware configuration.66.7%33.3%0.0%3.57exposed
Analyze information to determine, recommend, and plan layout, including type of computers and peripheral equipment modifications.66.7%33.3%0.0%2.83exposed
Update knowledge and skills to keep up with rapid advancements in computer technology.65.0%10.0%25.0%4.31exposed
Select hardware and material, assuring compliance with specifications and product requirements.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.69exposed
Specify power supply requirements and configuration, drawing on system performance expectations and design specifications.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.27exposed
Provide training and support to system designers and users.48.3%26.7%25.0%3.52exposed
Provide technical support to designers, marketing and sales departments, suppliers, engineers and other team members throughout the product development and implementation process.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.71exposed
Recommend purchase of equipment to control dust, temperature, and humidity in area of system installation.45.0%30.0%25.0%2.67exposed
Confer with engineering staff and consult specifications to evaluate interface between hardware and software and operational and performance requirements of overall system.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.14assisted
Design and develop computer hardware and support peripherals, including central processing units (CPUs), support logic, microprocessors, custom integrated circuits, and printers and disk drives.23.3%26.7%50.0%4.18assisted
Test and verify hardware and support peripherals to ensure that they meet specifications and requirements, by recording and analyzing test data.20.0%30.0%50.0%3.90assisted
Monitor functioning of equipment and make necessary modifications to ensure system operates in conformance with specifications.20.0%30.0%50.0%3.39assisted
Build, test, and modify product prototypes, using working models or theoretical models constructed with computer simulation.10.8%14.2%75.0%4.07untouched
Direct technicians, engineering designers or other technical support personnel as needed.10.0%15.0%75.0%3.74untouched
Assemble and modify existing pieces of equipment to meet special needs.0.0%0.0%100.0%2.89untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.720-4
Embodiment0.690-3
Presence0.500-3
Accountability1.310-3
Context1.860-3
Verification cost1.720-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.