The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Comparison

Waiters and Waitresses vs Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria

Waiters and Waitresses carries the higher exposed share at 23.2% against 18.2%, a gap of 5.0 points. The difference is driven by friction: the work is similarly producible in both, and what differs is what stands in the way of letting a machine finish it. Release v2026.Q3.

OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedCapabilityFrictionMedian payRankBand
Waiters and Waitresses23.2%9.1%67.7%0.320.34$35,230522untouched
Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria18.2%10.2%71.6%0.280.42$37,450637untouched

What stands in the way, in each

Waiters and Waitresses: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.32 of 1 and friction at 0.34 of 1.

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.28 of 1 and friction at 0.42 of 1.

Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.

Read each in full

Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.