The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Comparison

Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs vs Stockers and Order Fillers

Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs carries the higher exposed share at 25.8% against 23.4%, a gap of 2.4 points. The difference is driven by friction: the work is similarly producible in both, and what differs is what stands in the way of letting a machine finish it. Release v2026.Q3.

OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedCapabilityFrictionMedian payRankBand
Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs25.8%14.9%59.4%0.410.48$37,290482untouched
Stockers and Order Fillers23.4%9.4%67.2%0.330.29$37,330518untouched

What stands in the way, in each

Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.41 of 1 and friction at 0.48 of 1.

Stockers and Order Fillers: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.33 of 1 and friction at 0.29 of 1.

Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.

Read each in full

Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.