Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers vs Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers carries the higher exposed share at 28.4% against 25.1%, a gap of 3.4 points. The difference is driven by friction: the work is similarly producible in both, and what differs is what stands in the way of letting a machine finish it. Release v2026.Q3.
| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Capability | Friction | Median pay | Rank | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers | 28.4% | 14.5% | 57.1% | 0.43 | 0.34 | $61,770 | 456 | untouched |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 25.1% | 13.5% | 61.5% | 0.39 | 0.43 | $58,640 | 491 | untouched |
What stands in the way, in each
Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.43 of 1 and friction at 0.34 of 1.
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.39 of 1 and friction at 0.43 of 1.
Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.
Read each in full
Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.