The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Comparison

Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks vs Office Clerks, General

Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks carries the higher exposed share at 59.6% against 57.1%, a gap of 2.4 points. The difference is driven by capability: a current system can simply produce more of the first job's work product than the second's. Release v2026.Q3.

OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedCapabilityFrictionMedian payRankBand
Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks59.6%23.9%16.6%0.830.30$59,65048exposed
Office Clerks, General57.1%16.7%26.2%0.740.25$45,01060exposed

What stands in the way, in each

Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.83 of 1 and friction at 0.30 of 1.

Office Clerks, General: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.74 of 1 and friction at 0.25 of 1.

Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.

Read each in full

Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.