Light Truck Drivers vs Subway and Streetcar Operators
Light Truck Drivers carries the higher exposed share at 35.9% against 33.4%, a gap of 2.5 points. The difference is driven by friction: the work is similarly producible in both, and what differs is what stands in the way of letting a machine finish it. Release v2026.Q3.
| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Capability | Friction | Median pay | Rank | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light Truck Drivers | 35.9% | 13.8% | 50.3% | 0.50 | 0.37 | $44,860 | 348 | untouched |
| Subway and Streetcar Operators | 33.4% | 22.1% | 44.6% | 0.55 | 0.51 | $86,380 | 392 | assisted |
What stands in the way, in each
Light Truck Drivers: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.50 of 1 and friction at 0.37 of 1.
Subway and Streetcar Operators: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.55 of 1 and friction at 0.51 of 1.
Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.
Read each in full
Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.