The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers vs Demonstrators and Product Promoters

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers carries the higher exposed share at 41.1% against 38.0%, a gap of 3.1 points. The difference is driven by both capability and friction: the two jobs differ in what a system can produce and in what stops it, by roughly the same amount. Release v2026.Q3.

OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedCapabilityFrictionMedian payRankBand
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers41.1%21.8%37.1%0.630.38$48,520254exposed
Demonstrators and Product Promoters38.0%13.4%48.5%0.510.28$39,320305exposed

What stands in the way, in each

First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.63 of 1 and friction at 0.38 of 1.

Demonstrators and Product Promoters: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.51 of 1 and friction at 0.28 of 1.

Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.

Read each in full

Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.