First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers vs Cashiers
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers carries the higher exposed share at 53.2% against 50.0%, a gap of 3.2 points. The difference is driven by capability: a current system can simply produce more of the first job's work product than the second's. Release v2026.Q3.
| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Capability | Friction | Median pay | Rank | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers | 53.2% | 24.3% | 22.4% | 0.78 | 0.33 | $87,520 | 82 | exposed |
| Cashiers | 50.0% | 21.0% | 29.0% | 0.71 | 0.33 | $32,880 | 109 | exposed |
What stands in the way, in each
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.78 of 1 and friction at 0.33 of 1.
Cashiers: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.71 of 1 and friction at 0.33 of 1.
Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.
Read each in full
Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.