The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Comparison

Counter and Rental Clerks vs Retail Salespersons

Counter and Rental Clerks carries the higher exposed share at 49.4% against 44.1%, a gap of 5.3 points. The difference is driven by capability: a current system can simply produce more of the first job's work product than the second's. Release v2026.Q3.

OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedCapabilityFrictionMedian payRankBand
Counter and Rental Clerks49.4%22.6%28.0%0.720.34$41,300114exposed
Retail Salespersons44.1%18.9%37.0%0.630.31$35,410194exposed

What stands in the way, in each

Counter and Rental Clerks: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.72 of 1 and friction at 0.34 of 1.

Retail Salespersons: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.63 of 1 and friction at 0.31 of 1.

Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.

Read each in full

Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.