Cooks, Private Household vs Waiters and Waitresses
Cooks, Private Household carries the higher exposed share at 25.4% against 23.2%, a gap of 2.1 points. The difference is driven by both capability and friction: the two jobs differ in what a system can produce and in what stops it, by roughly the same amount. Release v2026.Q3.
| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Capability | Friction | Median pay | Rank | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooks, Private Household | 25.4% | 9.5% | 65.1% | 0.35 | 0.37 | $47,940 | 488 | untouched |
| Waiters and Waitresses | 23.2% | 9.1% | 67.7% | 0.32 | 0.34 | $35,230 | 522 | untouched |
What stands in the way, in each
Cooks, Private Household: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.35 of 1 and friction at 0.37 of 1.
Waiters and Waitresses: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.32 of 1 and friction at 0.34 of 1.
Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.
Read each in full
Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.