Commercial Pilots vs Stockers and Order Fillers
Commercial Pilots carries the higher exposed share at 26.0% against 23.4%, a gap of 2.6 points. The difference is driven by friction: the work is similarly producible in both, and what differs is what stands in the way of letting a machine finish it. Release v2026.Q3.
| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Capability | Friction | Median pay | Rank | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Pilots | 26.0% | 21.1% | 52.8% | 0.47 | 0.59 | $123,220 | 480 | untouched |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 23.4% | 9.4% | 67.2% | 0.33 | 0.29 | $37,330 | 518 | untouched |
What stands in the way, in each
Commercial Pilots: the dominant friction is that it runs on knowledge of the organisation that a model cannot hold. Capability sits at 0.47 of 1 and friction at 0.59 of 1.
Stockers and Order Fillers: the dominant friction is that the work happens to physical things in physical places. Capability sits at 0.33 of 1 and friction at 0.29 of 1.
Capability asks whether a generally available system can produce the work product at all. Friction asks what stops it finishing the job: physical work, being present, being accountable, unseen context, or the cost of checking the output. The rubric is here.
Read each in full
Exposure is not displacement. A higher score does not rank two jobs by how safe they are, and nothing here models adoption, employment or pay.