The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 51-9195.03 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Stone Cutters and Carvers, Manufacturing

Cut or carve stone according to diagrams and patterns.

Reading this score

computed

At 12.2% of weighted task load, Stone Cutters and Carvers, Manufacturing sits at the 19th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 82.2% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 14 tasks it averages 2.71 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Select chisels, pneumatic or surfacing tools, or sandblasting nozzles, and determine sequence..., at 50.0%. The least is Smooth surfaces of carvings, at 0.0%. A gap of 50.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within production occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 16.2% across the group's 107 roles, with 69 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 14 tasks, 2 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 12 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability0.710-4
Embodiment2.710-3
Presence0.000-3
Accountability0.210-3
Context0.640-3
Verification cost0.820-3

Task by task

14 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Select chisels, pneumatic or surfacing tools, or sandblasting nozzles, and determine sequence of use.50.0%25.0%25.0%3.72exposed
Study artistic objects or graphic materials, such as models, sketches, or blueprints, to plan carving or cutting techniques.30.0%20.0%50.0%3.55exposed
Guide nozzles over stone, following stencil outlines, or chip along marks to create designs or to work surfaces down to specified finishes.18.3%6.7%75.0%4.10untouched
Carve designs or figures in full or bas relief on stone, employing knowledge of stone carving techniques and sense of artistry to produce carvings consistent with designers' plans.18.3%6.7%75.0%3.82untouched
Carve rough designs freehand or by chipping along marks on stone, using mallets and chisels or pneumatic tools.18.3%6.7%75.0%4.03untouched
Move fingers over surfaces of carvings to ensure smoothness of finish.16.7%8.3%75.0%4.31untouched
Shape, trim, or touch up roughed-out designs with appropriate tools to finish carvings.9.6%2.9%87.5%4.43untouched
Drill holes and cut or carve moldings and grooves in stone, according to diagrams and patterns.9.2%3.3%87.5%4.18untouched
Verify depths and dimensions of cuts or carvings to ensure adherence to specifications, blueprints, or models, using measuring instruments.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.41untouched
Lay out designs or dimensions from sketches or blueprints on stone surfaces, freehand or by transferring them from tracing paper, using scribes or chalk and measuring instruments.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.27untouched
Remove or add stencils during blasting to create differing cut depths, intricate designs, or rough, pitted finishes.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.15untouched
Load sandblasting equipment with abrasives, attach nozzles to hoses, and turn valves to admit compressed air and activate jets.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.79untouched
Cut, shape, and finish rough blocks of building or monumental stone, according to diagrams or patterns.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.72untouched
Smooth surfaces of carvings, using rubbing stones.0.0%0.0%100.0%untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean. 1 task(s) lacked a usable O*NET weight and are shown but excluded from the weighting.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.