The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 25-1051.00 · Job Zone 5

AI exposure: Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary

Teach courses in the physical sciences, except chemistry and physics. Includes both teachers primarily engaged in teaching, and those who do a combination of teaching and research.

Reading this score

computed

44.6% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary at the 80th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.7 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 26 tasks it averages 1.77 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Collaborate with colleagues to address teaching and research issues, at 86.7%. The least is Serve on academic or administrative committees that deal with institutional policies,..., at 0.0%. A gap of 86.7% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within educational instruction and library occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 62 roles in the group is 41.9%, and only 15 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 26 tasks, 19 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 7 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take systems being given deeper access to the organisation's own records and history, which is already happening. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

26 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Collaborate with colleagues to address teaching and research issues.86.7%13.3%0.0%3.54exposed
Compile bibliographies of specialized materials for outside reading assignments.80.0%20.0%0.0%2.82exposed
Answer questions from the public and media.80.0%20.0%0.0%2.76exposed
Prepare course materials, such as syllabi, homework assignments, and handouts.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.15exposed
Write grant proposals to procure external research funding.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.39exposed
Conduct research in a particular field of knowledge and publish findings in professional journals, books, or electronic media.70.0%17.5%12.5%3.77exposed
Maintain student attendance records, grades, and other required records.66.7%33.3%0.0%4.43exposed
Plan, evaluate, and revise curricula, course content, and course materials and methods of instruction.64.2%23.3%12.5%4.16exposed
Select and obtain materials and supplies, such as textbooks and laboratory equipment.55.0%20.0%25.0%3.44exposed
Participate in campus and community events.55.0%20.0%25.0%2.81exposed
Review papers or serve on editorial boards for scientific journals, and review grant proposals for federal agencies.50.0%25.0%25.0%2.76exposed
Participate in student recruitment, registration, and placement activities.47.5%27.5%25.0%2.98exposed
Evaluate and grade students' class work, assignments, and papers.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.23exposed
Provide professional consulting services to government or industry.45.0%30.0%25.0%2.44exposed
Purchase and maintain equipment to support research projects.43.8%18.8%37.5%3.18exposed
Maintain regularly scheduled office hours to advise and assist students.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.64exposed
Advise students on academic and vocational curricula and on career issues.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.60exposed
Act as advisers to student organizations.40.0%35.0%25.0%2.84exposed
Compile, administer, and grade examinations, or assign this work to others.38.5%28.1%33.3%4.22exposed
Keep abreast of developments in the field by reading current literature, talking with colleagues, and participating in professional conferences.27.5%10.0%62.5%3.97untouched
Prepare and deliver lectures to undergraduate or graduate students on topics such as structural geology, micrometeorology, and atmospheric thermodynamics.11.7%13.3%75.0%4.37untouched
Initiate, facilitate, and moderate classroom discussions.11.7%13.3%75.0%4.04untouched
Supervise undergraduate or graduate teaching, internship, and research work.11.7%13.3%75.0%3.44untouched
Supervise laboratory work and field work.9.2%15.8%75.0%4.20untouched
Perform administrative duties, such as serving as department head.8.3%16.7%75.0%3.25untouched
Serve on academic or administrative committees that deal with institutional policies, departmental matters, and academic issues.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.29untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.680-4
Embodiment0.390-3
Presence1.270-3
Accountability0.830-3
Context1.770-3
Verification cost1.350-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.