The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupational family

AI exposure in sales occupations

22 occupations, 427 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 3 of 22 by median exposed share.

49.7%
median exposed share computed
22
occupations in the family
13.3M
US jobs in this family sourced
$50,160
median of the family’s median wages

Reading this family

computed

The median sales occupation has 49.7% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 25.4 points above the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 49.4%, across 13,331,100 US workers. 21 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 0 in assisted and 1 in untouched.

What holds the line across this family is context, at 1.67 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is knowing things a model cannot hold. The work runs on private, tacit or real-time organisational knowledge. This is the friction most likely to erode, because context is a plumbing problem rather than a law.

The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. Telemarketers sits at 73.3%. Models sits at 19.9%. Both are sales occupations, and 53.4 points separate them.

Where the family score comes from

judged

Means across all 427 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.850-4
Embodiment0.640-3
Presence0.810-3
Accountability0.810-3
Context1.670-3
Verification cost1.060-3

Every sales occupation

See them on the chart
OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedMedian payTasksBand
Telemarketers73.3%22.1%4.7%$35,45012exposed
Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel61.2%21.9%16.8%$69,99015exposed
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products60.5%23.6%15.9%$104,92033exposed
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products58.1%20.9%21.0%$72,08018exposed
Advertising Sales Agents54.5%21.9%23.5%$64,82020exposed
Travel Agents54.3%19.0%26.8%$50,1608exposed
Sales Engineers53.9%23.4%22.7%$124,90025exposed
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers53.2%24.3%22.4%$87,52018exposed
Solar Sales Representatives and Assessors52.8%24.1%23.1%$104,92013exposed
Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents52.7%27.7%19.7%$78,66030exposed
Cashiers50.0%21.0%29.0%$32,88028exposed
Counter and Rental Clerks49.4%22.6%28.0%$41,30016exposed
Real Estate Sales Agents46.4%26.6%27.0%$52,83033exposed
Real Estate Brokers46.0%28.3%25.6%$73,22019exposed
Insurance Sales Agents45.9%26.1%28.0%$62,28019exposed
Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers45.7%18.0%36.3%$41,38012exposed
Gambling Change Persons and Booth Cashiers44.9%25.7%29.4%$36,22013exposed
Parts Salespersons44.8%18.5%36.8%$38,63019exposed
Retail Salespersons44.1%18.9%37.0%$35,41024exposed
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers41.1%21.8%37.1%$48,52021exposed
Demonstrators and Product Promoters38.0%13.4%48.5%$39,32021exposed
Models19.9%11.2%69.0%$48,47010untouched

Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.