The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 29-1221.00 · Job Zone 5

AI exposure: Pediatricians, General

Diagnose, treat, and help prevent diseases and injuries in children. May refer patients to specialists for further diagnosis or treatment, as needed.

Reading this score

computed

At 16.4% of weighted task load, Pediatricians, General sits at the 27th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 55.0% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is verification cost. Across this occupation's 17 tasks it averages 2.71 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, checking the output costs more than producing it. Where an undetected error is expensive, dangerous or irreversible, the economics change. Someone has to verify the work, and verifying can cost as much as doing it. This is the friction most likely to fall as tools for checking improve.

The most exposed thing this job does is Advise patients, parents or guardians, and community members concerning diet, activity,..., at 40.0%. The least is Operate on patients to remove, repair, or improve functioning of diseased or injured body parts..., at 0.0%. A gap of 40.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within healthcare practitioner and technical occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 18.5% across the group's 89 roles, with 56 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 17 tasks, 1 are currently banded exposed, 9 assisted and 7 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take a change in who is permitted to sign the work, which is a question for regulators rather than for engineers. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.830-4
Embodiment1.020-3
Presence1.780-3
Accountability2.620-3
Context2.100-3
Verification cost2.710-3

Task by task

17 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Advise patients, parents or guardians, and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.84exposed
Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.77assisted
Provide consulting services to other physicians.35.0%40.0%25.0%3.50assisted
Prepare government or organizational reports of birth, death, and disease statistics, workforce evaluations, or medical status of individuals.35.0%40.0%25.0%2.76assisted
Plan and execute medical care programs to aid in the mental and physical growth and development of children and adolescents.29.2%33.3%37.5%4.44assisted
Plan, implement, or administer health programs or standards in hospitals, businesses, or communities for prevention or treatment of injury or illness.29.2%33.3%37.5%3.20assisted
Conduct research to study anatomy and develop or test medications, treatments, or procedures to prevent or control disease or injury.20.0%30.0%50.0%2.94assisted
Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioner when necessary.16.7%33.3%50.0%4.41assisted
Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients and parents or guardians.13.3%36.7%50.0%4.81assisted
Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary.13.3%36.7%50.0%4.62assisted
Examine patients or order, perform, and interpret diagnostic tests to obtain information on medical condition and determine diagnosis.10.0%27.5%62.5%4.86untouched
Teach residents or medical students about pediatric topics.8.3%16.7%75.0%3.59untouched
Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff.5.0%20.0%75.0%4.57untouched
Prescribe or administer treatment, therapy, medication, vaccination, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury in infants and children.4.1%12.6%83.3%4.95untouched
Examine children regularly to assess their growth and development.3.3%21.7%75.0%4.94untouched
Treat children who have minor illnesses, acute and chronic health problems, and growth and development concerns.2.5%22.5%75.0%4.91untouched
Operate on patients to remove, repair, or improve functioning of diseased or injured body parts and systems.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.32untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.