The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 51-4061.00 · Job Zone 3

AI exposure: Model Makers, Metal and Plastic

Set up and operate machines, such as lathes, milling and engraving machines, and jig borers to make working models of metal or plastic objects. Includes template makers.

Reading this score

computed

At 16.2% of weighted task load, Model Makers, Metal and Plastic sits at the 26th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 74.0% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 16 tasks it averages 2.52 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Record specifications, production operations, and final dimensions of models for use in..., at 73.3%. The least is Wire and solder electrical and electronic connections and components, at 0.0%. A gap of 73.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within production occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 107 roles in the group is 16.2%, and only 53 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 16 tasks, 4 are currently banded exposed, 1 assisted and 11 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability0.980-4
Embodiment2.520-3
Presence0.190-3
Accountability0.460-3
Context1.080-3
Verification cost1.150-3

Task by task

16 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Record specifications, production operations, and final dimensions of models for use in establishing operating standards and procedures.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.92exposed
Study blueprints, drawings, and sketches to determine material dimensions, required equipment, and operations sequences.41.7%20.8%37.5%4.49exposed
Program computer numerical control (CNC) machines to fabricate model parts.26.7%23.3%50.0%4.27exposed
Use computer-aided design (CAD) and computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software or hardware to fabricate model parts.26.7%23.3%50.0%3.81exposed
Consult and confer with engineering personnel to discuss developmental problems and to recommend product modifications.23.3%26.7%50.0%3.49assisted
Set up and operate machines, such as lathes, drill presses, punch presses, or bandsaws, to fabricate prototypes or models.15.8%9.2%75.0%4.31untouched
Inspect and test products to verify conformance to specifications, using precision measuring instruments or circuit testers.15.0%10.0%75.0%4.18untouched
Devise and construct tools, dies, molds, jigs, and fixtures, or modify existing tools and equipment.10.7%5.9%83.3%3.94untouched
Grind, file, and sand parts to finished dimensions.8.3%4.2%87.5%3.95untouched
Cut, shape, and form metal parts, using lathes, power saws, snips, power brakes and shears, files, and mallets.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.18untouched
Rework or alter component model or parts as required to ensure that products meet standards.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.07untouched
Drill, countersink, and ream holes in parts and assemblies for bolts, screws, and other fasteners, using power tools.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.05untouched
Align, fit, and join parts, using bolts and screws or by welding or gluing.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.90untouched
Lay out and mark reference points and dimensions on materials, using measuring instruments and drawing or scribing tools.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.50untouched
Assemble mechanical, electrical, and electronic components into models or prototypes, using hand tools, power tools, and fabricating machines.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.02untouched
Wire and solder electrical and electronic connections and components.0.0%0.0%100.0%2.29untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.