The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 51-9071.00 · Job Zone 3

AI exposure: Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers

Design, fabricate, adjust, repair, or appraise jewelry, gold, silver, other precious metals, or gems.

Reading this score

computed

At 22.1% of weighted task load, Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers sits at the 41th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 69.7% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 30 tasks it averages 2.28 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Compute costs of labor and materials to determine production costs of products and articles, at 73.3%. The least is Rotate molds to distribute alloys and to prevent formation of air pockets, at 0.0%. A gap of 73.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within production occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 107 roles in the group is 16.1%, and only 17 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 30 tasks, 9 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 21 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.110-4
Embodiment2.280-3
Presence0.100-3
Accountability0.390-3
Context1.110-3
Verification cost1.020-3

Task by task

30 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Compute costs of labor and materials to determine production costs of products and articles.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.32exposed
Record the weights and processing times of finished pieces.73.3%26.7%0.0%3.84exposed
Select and acquire metals and gems for designs.64.2%23.3%12.5%4.24exposed
Create jewelry from materials such as gold, silver, platinum, and precious or semiprecious stones.60.0%15.0%25.0%4.45exposed
Create new jewelry designs and modify existing designs, using computers as necessary.60.0%15.0%25.0%3.92exposed
Write or modify design specifications such as the metal contents and weights of items.60.0%15.0%25.0%3.73exposed
Research and analyze reference materials, and consult with interested parties to develop new products or modify existing designs.52.5%22.5%25.0%3.54exposed
Determine appraised values of diamonds and other gemstones based on price guides, market fluctuations, and stone grades and rarity.50.0%25.0%25.0%4.23exposed
Buy and sell jewelry, or serve as agents between buyers and sellers.39.6%22.9%37.5%4.24exposed
Mark, engrave, or emboss designs on metal pieces such as castings, wire, or jewelry, following specifications.18.3%6.7%75.0%3.51untouched
Cut designs in molds or other materials to be used as models in the fabrication of metal and jewelry products.18.3%6.7%75.0%3.26untouched
Grade stones based on their color, perfection, and quality of cut.11.7%13.3%75.0%4.27untouched
Anneal precious metal objects such as coffeepots, tea sets, and trays in gas ovens for prescribed times to soften metal for reworking.7.9%4.6%87.5%2.84untouched
Soften metal to be used in designs by heating it with a gas torch and shape it, using hammers and dies.7.5%5.0%87.5%3.73untouched
Weigh, mix, and melt metal alloys or materials needed for jewelry models.5.0%3.3%91.7%3.17untouched
Clean and polish metal items and jewelry pieces, using jewelers' tools, polishing wheels, and chemical baths.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.50untouched
Smooth soldered joints and rough spots, using hand files and emery paper, and polish smoothed areas with polishing wheels or buffing wire.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.47untouched
Cut and file pieces of jewelry such as rings, brooches, bracelets, and lockets.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.39untouched
Examine assembled or finished products to ensure conformance to specifications, using magnifying glasses or precision measuring instruments.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.37untouched
Make repairs, such as enlarging or reducing ring sizes, soldering pieces of jewelry together, and replacing broken clasps and mountings.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.36untouched
Position stones and metal pieces, and set, mount, and secure items in place, using setting and hand tools.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.31untouched
Shape and straighten damaged or twisted articles by hand or using pliers.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.23untouched
Plate articles such as jewelry pieces and watch dials, using silver, gold, nickel, or other metals.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.89untouched
Construct preliminary models of wax, metal, clay, or plaster, and form sample castings in molds.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.78untouched
Pierce and cut open designs in ornamentation, using hand drills and scroll saws.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.62untouched
Pour molten metal alloys or other materials into molds to cast models of jewelry.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.26untouched
Lay out designs on metal stock, and cut along markings to fabricate pieces used to cast metal molds.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.46untouched
Design and fabricate molds, models, and machine accessories, and modify hand tools used to cast metal and jewelry pieces.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.36untouched
Rout out locations where parts are to be joined to items, using routing machines.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.25untouched
Rotate molds to distribute alloys and to prevent formation of air pockets.0.0%0.0%100.0%2.60untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.