The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 23-1011.00 · Job Zone 5

AI exposure: Lawyers

Represent clients in criminal and civil litigation and other legal proceedings, draw up legal documents, or manage or advise clients on legal transactions. May specialize in a single area or may practice broadly in many areas of law.

Reading this score

computed

Lawyers is one of the unusual cases where capability and friction are both high. Current systems can produce a great deal of this work, with average capability across its tasks at 2.1 out of 4. Only 22.0% of the weighted task load comes out as exposed, because 32.0% of it runs into something structural. Jobs in this band tend not to disappear. They change shape, and the person stays.

What holds the line here is accountability. Across this occupation's 22 tasks it averages 2.67 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, someone licensed has to sign the work. Capability and permission are different things. Where a statute or a professional body requires a named, liable human to approve the output, the work can be drafted by a machine and still require the person.

The most exposed thing this job does is Search for and examine public and other legal records to write opinions or establish ownership, at 45.0%. The least is Act as agent, trustee, guardian, or executor for businesses or individuals, at 1.7%. A gap of 43.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within legal occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 25.9% across the group's 7 roles, with 3 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 22 tasks, 2 are currently banded exposed, 12 assisted and 8 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take a change in who is permitted to sign the work, which is a question for regulators rather than for engineers. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.120-4
Embodiment0.620-3
Presence1.600-3
Accountability2.670-3
Context2.310-3
Verification cost2.660-3

What this means in practice

Roles in this band tend to change shape rather than disappear. The output gets drafted faster and the person moves toward review, judgment and accountability. The useful question is not whether to use these tools but who is trusted to sign off on what they produce.

Task by task

22 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Search for and examine public and other legal records to write opinions or establish ownership.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.70exposed
Prepare legal briefs and opinions, and file appeals in state and federal courts of appeal.37.5%37.5%25.0%3.86assisted
Analyze the probable outcomes of cases, using knowledge of legal precedents.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.41assisted
Evaluate findings and develop strategies and arguments in preparation for presentation of cases.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.31assisted
Examine legal data to determine advisability of defending or prosecuting lawsuit.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.21assisted
Prepare, draft, and review legal documents, such as wills, deeds, patent applications, mortgages, leases, and contracts.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.18assisted
Study Constitution, statutes, decisions, regulations, and ordinances of quasi-judicial bodies to determine ramifications for cases.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.04assisted
Perform administrative and management functions related to the practice of law.32.4%25.9%41.7%3.63exposed
Interpret laws, rulings and regulations for individuals and businesses.30.0%45.0%25.0%4.54assisted
Advise clients concerning business transactions, claim liability, advisability of prosecuting or defending lawsuits, or legal rights and obligations.30.0%45.0%25.0%4.27assisted
Help develop federal and state programs, draft and interpret laws and legislation, and establish enforcement procedures.30.0%45.0%25.0%3.48assisted
Negotiate contractual agreements.23.3%26.7%50.0%3.94assisted
Confer with colleagues with specialties in appropriate areas of legal issue to establish and verify bases for legal proceedings.16.7%33.3%50.0%3.84assisted
Probate wills and represent and advise executors and administrators of estates.11.7%38.3%50.0%3.90assisted
Gather evidence to formulate defense or to initiate legal actions by such means as interviewing clients and witnesses to ascertain the facts of a case.8.3%16.7%75.0%4.40untouched
Supervise legal assistants.8.3%16.7%75.0%4.01untouched
Select jurors, argue motions, meet with judges, and question witnesses during the course of a trial.8.2%25.2%66.7%4.34untouched
Negotiate settlements of civil disputes.3.3%21.7%75.0%4.02untouched
Represent clients in court or before government agencies.1.7%23.3%75.0%4.34untouched
Present and summarize cases to judges and juries.1.7%23.3%75.0%4.36untouched
Present evidence to defend clients or prosecute defendants in criminal or civil litigation.1.7%23.3%75.0%4.29untouched
Act as agent, trustee, guardian, or executor for businesses or individuals.1.7%23.3%75.0%3.74untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.