The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 33-1091.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of security workers and security guards.

Reading this score

computed

32.5% of this occupation's weighted task load is exposed, which puts First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers at the 56th percentile of 923 occupations. The capability is largely there. Its average task scores 2.4 out of 4 on what a current system can produce, and the frictions that hold other jobs in place are comparatively weak here.

What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 21 tasks it averages 1.85 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.

The most exposed thing this job does is Schedule training or drills for emergencies, at 80.0%. The least is Secure entrances and exits by locking doors and gates, at 0.0%. A gap of 80.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within protective service occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 26 roles in the group is 18.3%, and only 0 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 21 tasks, 9 are currently banded exposed, 6 assisted and 6 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take cheaper ways to verify output, since the cost of checking is currently doing more to hold this work in place than the cost of producing it. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Task by task

21 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Schedule training or drills for emergencies, such as fires, bombs, and other threats.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.25exposed
Order materials or supplies, such as keys, uniforms, and badges.80.0%20.0%0.0%4.30exposed
Log items distributed to persons, such as keys and key cards.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.03exposed
Develop and document security procedures, policies, or standards.67.2%24.4%8.3%4.29exposed
Write and present department budgets to upper management or other stakeholders.61.1%30.6%8.3%4.36exposed
Write reports documenting observations made while on patrol.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.59exposed
Advise employees in handling problems or resolving complaints from customers, tenants, detainees, or other persons.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.50exposed
Explain company policies and procedures to staff using oral or written communication.45.0%30.0%25.0%4.33exposed
Assign security personnel to posts or patrols.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.46exposed
Call police or fire departments in cases of emergency, such as fire, bomb threats, and presence of unauthorized persons.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.44assisted
Investigate disturbances on the premises, such as security alarms, altercations, and suspicious activity.25.0%37.5%37.5%4.77assisted
Inspect and adjust security equipment to ensure it is operational or to detect evidence of tampering.23.3%26.7%50.0%4.42assisted
Train security personnel on protective procedures, first aid, fire safety, and other duties.22.2%27.8%50.0%4.41assisted
Recruit, interview, and hire security personnel.20.0%30.0%50.0%4.46assisted
Monitor closed-circuit television cameras.20.0%30.0%50.0%4.43assisted
Monitor the behavior of security employees to ensure adherence to quality standards, deadlines, or procedures.16.2%21.2%62.5%4.58untouched
Screen individuals and belongings to prevent passage of prohibited materials using walkthrough detectors, wands, or bag searches.12.5%25.0%62.5%4.43untouched
Monitor and authorize entry of employees, visitors, or other persons.10.8%14.2%75.0%4.65untouched
Patrol the premises to prevent or detect intrusion, protect property, or preserve order.4.2%8.3%87.5%4.71untouched
Apprehend or evict trespassers, rule violators, or other security threats from the premises.2.5%10.0%87.5%4.43untouched
Secure entrances and exits by locking doors and gates.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.62untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.370-4
Embodiment1.090-3
Presence1.420-3
Accountability1.260-3
Context1.850-3
Verification cost1.630-3

What this means in practice

Where most of a role's weighted task load is exposed, the work that survives is usually the part of the job nobody wrote into the job description: deciding what should be produced rather than producing it, and being answerable for the result. The tasks lowest on this page are a better guide to where to spend your time than any general advice about the future of work.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.