The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 51-4031.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Set up, operate, or tend machines to saw, cut, shear, slit, punch, crimp, notch, bend, or straighten metal or plastic material.

Reading this score

computed

At 11.4% of weighted task load, Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic sits at the 17th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 82.5% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 31 tasks it averages 2.69 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Plan sequences of operations, applying knowledge of physical properties of workpiece materials, at 55.0%. The least is Use equipment designed to join sheet metal, at 0.0%. A gap of 55.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within production occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 16.2% across the group's 107 roles, with 73 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 31 tasks, 6 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 25 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability0.690-4
Embodiment2.690-3
Presence0.250-3
Accountability0.340-3
Context0.910-3
Verification cost0.850-3

Task by task

31 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Plan sequences of operations, applying knowledge of physical properties of workpiece materials.55.0%20.0%25.0%3.92exposed
Read work orders or production schedules to determine specifications, such as materials to be used, locations of cutting lines, or dimensions and tolerances.41.7%20.8%37.5%4.47exposed
Start machines, monitor their operations, and record operational data.37.6%20.7%41.7%4.46exposed
Turn controls to set cutting speeds, feed rates, or table angles for specified operations.33.3%16.7%50.0%3.96exposed
Turn valves to start flow of coolant against cutting areas or to start airflow that blows cuttings away from kerfs.33.3%16.7%50.0%3.83exposed
Set blade tensions, heights, and angles to perform prescribed cuts, using wrenches.33.3%16.7%50.0%3.41exposed
Adjust ram strokes of presses to specified lengths, using hand tools.16.7%8.3%75.0%4.36untouched
Select, clean, and install spacers, rubber sleeves, or cutters on arbors.16.1%8.9%75.0%3.56untouched
Set up, operate, or tend machines to saw, cut, shear, slit, punch, crimp, notch, bend, or straighten metal or plastic material.15.0%10.0%75.0%4.41untouched
Preheat workpieces, using heating furnaces or hand torches.15.0%10.0%75.0%3.20untouched
Test and adjust machine speeds or actions, according to product specifications, using gauges and hand tools.14.2%10.8%75.0%4.23untouched
Operate forklifts to deliver materials.13.3%11.7%75.0%3.57untouched
Sharpen dulled blades, using bench grinders, abrasive wheels, or lathes.8.3%4.2%87.5%3.69untouched
Grind out burrs or sharp edges, using portable grinders, speed lathes, or polishing jacks.8.3%4.2%87.5%3.42untouched
Examine completed workpieces for defects, such as chipped edges or marred surfaces and sort defective pieces according to types of flaws.7.9%4.6%87.5%4.56untouched
Measure completed workpieces to verify conformance to specifications, using micrometers, gauges, calipers, templates, or rulers.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.67untouched
Load workpieces, plastic material, or chemical solutions into machines.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.23untouched
Clean work area.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.85untouched
Lubricate workpieces with oil.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.50untouched
Install, align, and lock specified punches, dies, cutting blades, or other fixtures in rams or beds of machines, using gauges, templates, feelers, shims, and hand tools.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.47untouched
Position, align, and secure workpieces against fixtures or stops on machine beds or on dies.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.28untouched
Set stops on machine beds, change dies, and adjust components, such as rams or power presses, when making multiple or successive passes.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.19untouched
Clean and lubricate machines.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.12untouched
Position guides, stops, holding blocks, or other fixtures to secure and direct workpieces, using hand tools and measuring devices.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.02untouched
Place workpieces on cutting tables, manually or using hoists, cranes, or sledges.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.94untouched
Replace defective blades or wheels, using hand tools.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.93untouched
Mark identifying data on workpieces.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.83untouched
Hone cutters with oilstones to remove nicks.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.82untouched
Remove housings, feed tubes, tool holders, or other accessories to replace worn or broken parts, such as springs or bushings.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.72untouched
Scribe reference lines on workpieces as guides for cutting operations, according to blueprints, templates, sample parts, or specifications.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.55untouched
Use equipment designed to join sheet metal, such as spot welders.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.37untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.