How exposed to AI is farming, fishing and forestry work?

Across the 12 occupations in this family, the median exposed share of weighted task load is 9.9%, which is below the site-wide median of 24.3%. It ranks 21 of 22 occupational families. The most exposed role is First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers at 23.0% and the least is Fishing and Hunting Workers at 6.3%.

Occupational family

AI exposure in farming, fishing and forestry occupations

Q: What stops AI doing farming, fishing and forestry work?

The dominant friction in this family is embodiment, averaging 2.47 out of 3 across its 225 tasks. The work happens to physical objects in physical rooms. No amount of model capability reaches it, because the bottleneck is hands rather than reasoning.

12 occupations, 225 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 21 of 22 by median exposed share.

9.9%

median exposed share computed

occupations in the family

0.4M

US jobs in this family sourced

$46,330

median of the family’s median wages

Reading this family

computed

The median farming, fishing and forestry occupation has 9.9% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 14.4 points below the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 15.1%, across 429,000 US workers. 0 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 0 in assisted and 12 in untouched.

What holds the line across this family is embodiment, at 2.47 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is a body in a place. The work happens to physical objects in physical rooms. No amount of model capability reaches it, because the bottleneck is hands rather than reasoning.

The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers sits at 23.0%. Fishing and Hunting Workers sits at 6.3%. Both are farming, fishing and forestry occupations, and 16.7 points separate them.

Where the family score comes from

judged

Means across all 225 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

Dimension	Mean	Scale
Capability	0.95	0-4
Embodiment	2.47	0-3
Presence	0.97	0-3
Accountability	0.94	0-3
Context	1.42	0-3
Verification cost	1.28	0-3

Every farming, fishing and forestry occupation

See them on the chart

Occupation	Exposed	Assisted	Untouched	Median pay	Tasks	Band
First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers	23.0%	18.2%	58.9%	$59,320	30	untouched
Agricultural Inspectors	18.6%	17.7%	63.7%	$49,940	22	untouched
Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse	17.5%	10.0%	72.5%	$35,660	27	untouched
Animal Breeders	16.0%	10.1%	73.9%	$51,130	21	untouched
Log Graders and Scalers	15.4%	12.1%	72.5%	$46,330	12	untouched
Forest and Conservation Workers	10.8%	8.6%	80.6%	$43,680	17	untouched
Logging Equipment Operators	9.0%	5.8%	85.3%	$49,740	9	untouched
Agricultural Equipment Operators	7.3%	6.3%	86.4%	$41,730	17	untouched
Fallers	6.9%	7.8%	85.3%	$52,100	17	untouched
Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals	6.6%	6.1%	87.3%	$36,670	19	untouched
Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products	6.5%	3.2%	90.3%	$35,730	5	untouched
Fishing and Hunting Workers	6.3%	8.9%	84.8%	n/a	29	untouched

Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.