AI exposure in community and social service occupations
14 occupations, 295 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 10 of 22 by median exposed share.
Reading this family
computedThe median community and social service occupation has 24.9% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 0.6 points above the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 26.7%, across 1,961,740 US workers. 2 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 8 in assisted and 4 in untouched.
What holds the line across this family is context, at 2.22 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is knowing things a model cannot hold. The work runs on private, tacit or real-time organisational knowledge. This is the friction most likely to erode, because context is a plumbing problem rather than a law.
The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. Health Education Specialists sits at 38.5%. Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors sits at 19.1%. Both are community and social service occupations, and 19.4 points separate them.
Where the family score comes from
judgedMeans across all 295 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.
| Dimension | Mean | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Capability | 2.08 | 0-4 |
| Embodiment | 0.74 | 0-3 |
| Presence | 1.90 | 0-3 |
| Accountability | 1.50 | 0-3 |
| Context | 2.22 | 0-3 |
| Verification cost | 1.87 | 0-3 |
Every community and social service occupation
See them on the chart| Occupation | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Median pay | Tasks | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health Education Specialists | 38.5% | 27.0% | 34.5% | $64,070 | 16 | exposed |
| Directors, Religious Activities and Education | 33.9% | 23.9% | 42.2% | $52,100 | 19 | exposed |
| Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists | 30.6% | 26.3% | 43.1% | $66,270 | 21 | assisted |
| Community Health Workers | 30.4% | 27.0% | 42.6% | $51,850 | 29 | assisted |
| Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors | 29.3% | 25.5% | 45.2% | $64,330 | 35 | assisted |
| Social and Human Service Assistants | 26.6% | 23.4% | 50.0% | $45,930 | 19 | assisted |
| Child, Family, and School Social Workers | 25.4% | 28.5% | 46.1% | $59,550 | 21 | assisted |
| Rehabilitation Counselors | 24.4% | 28.7% | 46.9% | $46,850 | 17 | assisted |
| Clergy | 24.1% | 18.5% | 57.4% | $60,810 | 21 | untouched |
| Marriage and Family Therapists | 23.9% | 27.7% | 48.4% | $66,940 | 17 | assisted |
| Healthcare Social Workers | 23.1% | 28.2% | 48.8% | $67,880 | 17 | assisted |
| Mental Health Counselors | 23.0% | 25.1% | 51.9% | n/a | 27 | untouched |
| Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers | 21.0% | 24.9% | 54.0% | $60,280 | 13 | untouched |
| Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors | 19.1% | 24.2% | 56.7% | n/a | 23 | untouched |
Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.