The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupational family

AI exposure in community and social service occupations

14 occupations, 295 tasks, scored against the capability frontier of 2026-09-15. This family ranks 10 of 22 by median exposed share.

24.9%
median exposed share computed
14
occupations in the family
2.0M
US jobs in this family sourced
$60,810
median of the family’s median wages

Reading this family

computed

The median community and social service occupation has 24.9% of its weighted task load in work current AI systems can already produce, which is 0.6 points above the median across every occupation in the index. Weighted by how many people actually do these jobs, the figure is 26.7%, across 1,961,740 US workers. 2 of these occupations fall in the exposed band, 8 in assisted and 4 in untouched.

What holds the line across this family is context, at 2.22 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions here. In plain terms the obstacle is knowing things a model cannot hold. The work runs on private, tacit or real-time organisational knowledge. This is the friction most likely to erode, because context is a plumbing problem rather than a law.

The spread inside the family is wider than the gap between families, which is the usual pattern and the reason this index does not publish a single number per group. Health Education Specialists sits at 38.5%. Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors sits at 19.1%. Both are community and social service occupations, and 19.4 points separate them.

Where the family score comes from

judged

Means across all 295 tasks in this family. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability2.080-4
Embodiment0.740-3
Presence1.900-3
Accountability1.500-3
Context2.220-3
Verification cost1.870-3

Every community and social service occupation

See them on the chart
OccupationExposedAssistedUntouchedMedian payTasksBand
Health Education Specialists38.5%27.0%34.5%$64,07016exposed
Directors, Religious Activities and Education33.9%23.9%42.2%$52,10019exposed
Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists30.6%26.3%43.1%$66,27021assisted
Community Health Workers30.4%27.0%42.6%$51,85029assisted
Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors29.3%25.5%45.2%$64,33035assisted
Social and Human Service Assistants26.6%23.4%50.0%$45,93019assisted
Child, Family, and School Social Workers25.4%28.5%46.1%$59,55021assisted
Rehabilitation Counselors24.4%28.7%46.9%$46,85017assisted
Clergy24.1%18.5%57.4%$60,81021untouched
Marriage and Family Therapists23.9%27.7%48.4%$66,94017assisted
Healthcare Social Workers23.1%28.2%48.8%$67,88017assisted
Mental Health Counselors23.0%25.1%51.9%n/a27untouched
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers21.0%24.9%54.0%$60,28013untouched
Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors19.1%24.2%56.7%n/a23untouched

Exposure is not displacement. These figures say what current systems can produce and what stands in the way. They do not say anyone will stop paying a person to do the work. How the score is built.