The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 29-1218.00 · Job Zone 5

AI exposure: Obstetricians and Gynecologists

Provide medical care related to pregnancy or childbirth. Diagnose, treat, and help prevent diseases of women, particularly those affecting the reproductive system. May also provide general care to women. May perform both medical and gynecological surgery functions.

Reading this score

computed

At 17.7% of weighted task load, Obstetricians and Gynecologists sits at the 30th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 55.1% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is verification cost. Across this occupation's 15 tasks it averages 2.80 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, checking the output costs more than producing it. Where an undetected error is expensive, dangerous or irreversible, the economics change. Someone has to verify the work, and verifying can cost as much as doing it. This is the friction most likely to fall as tools for checking improve.

The most exposed thing this job does is Analyze records, reports, test results, or examination information to diagnose medical..., at 40.0%. The least is Perform cesarean sections or other surgical procedures as needed to preserve patients' health..., at 0.0%. A gap of 40.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within healthcare practitioner and technical occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 18.5% across the group's 89 roles, with 49 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 15 tasks, 2 are currently banded exposed, 8 assisted and 5 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take a change in who is permitted to sign the work, which is a question for regulators rather than for engineers. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.840-4
Embodiment0.920-3
Presence1.790-3
Accountability2.730-3
Context2.010-3
Verification cost2.800-3

Task by task

15 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Analyze records, reports, test results, or examination information to diagnose medical condition of patient.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.86exposed
Advise patients and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.06exposed
Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical histories, reports, or examination results.35.0%40.0%25.0%4.82assisted
Prepare government and organizational reports on birth, death, and disease statistics, workforce evaluations, or the medical status of individuals.35.0%40.0%25.0%3.40assisted
Plan, implement, or administer health programs in hospitals, businesses, or communities for prevention and treatment of injuries or illnesses.29.2%33.3%37.5%3.52assisted
Consult with or provide consulting services to other physicians.22.9%39.6%37.5%4.66assisted
Conduct research to develop or test medications, treatments, or procedures to prevent or control disease or injury.20.0%30.0%50.0%3.67assisted
Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioner when necessary.16.7%33.3%50.0%4.36assisted
Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients.13.3%36.7%50.0%4.81assisted
Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary.13.3%36.7%50.0%4.67assisted
Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff.5.0%20.0%75.0%4.15untouched
Prescribe or administer therapy, medication, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury.4.1%12.6%83.3%4.74untouched
Treat diseases of female organs.3.3%21.7%75.0%4.88untouched
Care for and treat women during prenatal, natal, and postnatal periods.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.87untouched
Perform cesarean sections or other surgical procedures as needed to preserve patients' health and deliver babies safely.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.83untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.