The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 49-9094.00 · Job Zone 2

AI exposure: Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

Repair and open locks, make keys, change locks and safe combinations, and install and repair safes.

Reading this score

computed

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers is among the least exposed occupations measured, at 5.4% of weighted task load, rank 868 of 923. 92.6% of this job is work current AI systems cannot produce at all. That is not a statement about skill or value. It is a statement about what these systems can and cannot do.

What holds the line here is embodiment. Across this occupation's 14 tasks it averages 2.79 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work has to happen in physical space. A language model cannot move matter. Until the robotics to do this work is both good enough and cheap enough to deploy widely, capability in software does not reach it.

The most exposed thing this job does is Keep records of company locks and keys, at 73.3%. The least is Remove interior and exterior finishes on safes and vaults, and spray on new finishes, at 0.0%. A gap of 73.3% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within installation, maintenance and repair occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 13.8% across the group's 50 roles, with 42 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.

What would move this score. Of 14 tasks, 1 are currently banded exposed, 0 assisted and 13 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability0.290-4
Embodiment2.790-3
Presence0.210-3
Accountability0.610-3
Context1.110-3
Verification cost1.000-3

Task by task

14 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Keep records of company locks and keys.73.3%26.7%0.0%4.17exposed
Cut new or duplicate keys, using impressions or code key machines.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.75untouched
Insert new or repaired tumblers into locks to change combinations.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.58untouched
Move picklocks in cylinders to open door locks without keys.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.57untouched
Cut new or duplicate keys, using key cutting machines.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.52untouched
Open safe locks by drilling.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.44untouched
Set up and maintain master key systems.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.32untouched
Install door hardware, such as locks and closers.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.28untouched
Disassemble mechanical or electrical locking devices, and repair or replace worn tumblers, springs, and other parts, using hand tools.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.12untouched
Repair and adjust safes, vault doors, and vault components, using hand tools, lathes, drill presses, and welding and acetylene cutting apparatus.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.96untouched
Install alarm and electronic access systems.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.89untouched
Install safes, vault doors, and deposit boxes according to blueprints, using equipment such as power drills, taps, dies, truck cranes, and dollies.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.61untouched
Unlock cars and other vehicles.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.26untouched
Remove interior and exterior finishes on safes and vaults, and spray on new finishes.0.0%0.0%100.0%1.75untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.