AI exposure: First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of correctional officers and jailers.
Reading this score
computedAt 18.2% of weighted task load, First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers sits at the 31th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 66.1% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.
What holds the line here is context. Across this occupation's 23 tasks it averages 2.22 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, the work depends on knowledge the model cannot hold. Much of this job runs on things that were never written down: what this particular organisation does, what happened last week, what the person across the table actually meant. That context is the barrier, and it erodes as systems are given more access.
The most exposed thing this job does is Set up employee work schedules, at 80.0%. The least is Rate behavior of inmates, promoting acceptable attitudes and behaviors to those with low ratings, at 0.0%. A gap of 80.0% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.
Within protective service occupations, this one is less exposed than the median of 18.9% across the group's 26 roles, with 14 scoring higher. Being in an exposed family does not make a particular job exposed, and the reverse holds too.
What would move this score. Of 23 tasks, 6 are currently banded exposed, 3 assisted and 14 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take robotics cheap and reliable enough to deploy at scale, not a better language model. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.
Where the score comes from
judgedEvery task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.
| Dimension | Mean | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Capability | 1.39 | 0-4 |
| Embodiment | 1.61 | 0-3 |
| Presence | 2.11 | 0-3 |
| Accountability | 1.65 | 0-3 |
| Context | 2.22 | 0-3 |
| Verification cost | 2.22 | 0-3 |
Task by task
23 tasks, O*NET 31.0| Task | Exposed | Assisted | Untouched | Importance | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set up employee work schedules. | 80.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 4.18 | exposed |
| Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports. | 73.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 4.35 | exposed |
| Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention. | 55.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 4.05 | exposed |
| Examine incoming or outgoing mail to ensure conformance with regulations. | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 4.18 | exposed |
| Develop work or security procedures. | 45.0% | 30.0% | 25.0% | 4.05 | exposed |
| Instruct employees or provide on-the-job training. | 26.7% | 23.3% | 50.0% | 4.27 | exposed |
| Monitor behavior of subordinates to ensure alert, courteous, and professional behavior toward inmates, parolees, fellow employees, visitors, and the public. | 25.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 4.49 | assisted |
| Conduct evaluations of employees' performance. | 25.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 3.81 | assisted |
| Convey correctional officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors. | 20.0% | 30.0% | 50.0% | 4.01 | assisted |
| Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations. | 13.3% | 11.7% | 75.0% | 4.71 | untouched |
| Resolve problems between inmates. | 8.3% | 16.7% | 75.0% | 4.25 | untouched |
| Transfer or transport offenders on foot or by driving vehicles, such as trailers, vans, or buses. | 3.8% | 8.8% | 87.5% | 4.11 | untouched |
| Supervise and direct the work of correctional officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates. | 3.3% | 21.7% | 75.0% | 4.57 | untouched |
| Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours. | 3.3% | 21.7% | 75.0% | 4.29 | untouched |
| Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items. | 2.5% | 10.0% | 87.5% | 4.56 | untouched |
| Take, receive, or check periodic inmate counts. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.75 | untouched |
| Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.73 | untouched |
| Respond to emergencies, such as escapes. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.61 | untouched |
| Restrain, secure, or control offenders, using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.49 | untouched |
| Carry injured offenders or employees to safety and provide emergency first aid when necessary. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.45 | untouched |
| Conduct roll calls of correctional officers. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 4.28 | untouched |
| Supervise or provide security for offenders performing tasks, such as construction, maintenance, laundry, food service, or other industrial or agricultural operations. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 3.99 | untouched |
| Rate behavior of inmates, promoting acceptable attitudes and behaviors to those with low ratings. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 3.75 | untouched |
Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.
Occupations either side of this one
The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.
Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.
What this means in practice
Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.