The Task Exposure Indexv2026.Q3
Occupation · SOC 29-9091.00 · Job Zone 5

AI exposure: Athletic Trainers

Evaluate and treat musculoskeletal injuries or illnesses. Provide preventive, therapeutic, emergency, and rehabilitative care.

Reading this score

computed

At 21.0% of weighted task load, Athletic Trainers sits at the 38th percentile, below the point where a job's centre of gravity has moved. 55.0% of what this role does is untouched, meaning current systems cannot produce that work at all, whatever the commercial incentive.

What holds the line here is verification cost. Across this occupation's 23 tasks it averages 2.09 out of 3, the highest of the five friction dimensions. In plain terms, checking the output costs more than producing it. Where an undetected error is expensive, dangerous or irreversible, the economics change. Someone has to verify the work, and verifying can cost as much as doing it. This is the friction most likely to fall as tools for checking improve.

The most exposed thing this job does is Perform general administrative tasks, at 50.9%. The least is Accompany injured athletes to hospitals, at 0.0%. A gap of 50.9% between two parts of the same job is the reason this index publishes at task level. An occupation-wide number would have hidden both.

Within healthcare practitioner and technical occupations, this one is more exposed than most. The median across the 89 roles in the group is 18.4%, and only 30 of them score higher than this. Occupational families are not uniform, and the spread inside them is often wider than the gap between them.

What would move this score. Of 23 tasks, 7 are currently banded exposed, 6 assisted and 10 untouched. For that distribution to shift materially would take a change in who is permitted to sign the work, which is a question for regulators rather than for engineers. The score is re-computed every quarter against a fresh capability reference, and the change is published rather than quietly applied.

Where the score comes from

judged

Every task is scored through the standardised work activities it maps to. These are this occupation’s averages on the six rubric dimensions. Capability is what AI can do; the other five are what stands in the way.

DimensionMeanScale
Capability1.790-4
Embodiment1.360-3
Presence1.780-3
Accountability1.710-3
Context1.780-3
Verification cost2.090-3

Task by task

23 tasks, O*NET 31.0
TaskExposedAssistedUntouchedImportanceBand
Perform general administrative tasks, such as keeping records or writing reports.50.9%40.7%8.3%4.44exposed
Plan or implement comprehensive athletic injury or illness prevention programs.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.84exposed
Develop training programs or routines designed to improve athletic performance.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.60exposed
File athlete insurance claims and communicate with insurance providers.45.0%30.0%25.0%3.71exposed
Instruct coaches, athletes, parents, medical personnel, or community members in the care and prevention of athletic injuries.40.0%35.0%25.0%4.17exposed
Advise athletes on the proper use of equipment.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.71exposed
Recommend special diets to improve athletes' health, increase their stamina, or alter their weight.40.0%35.0%25.0%3.12exposed
Conduct an initial assessment of an athlete's injury or illness to provide emergency or continued care and to determine whether they should be referred to physicians for definitive diagnosis and treatment.30.0%45.0%25.0%4.80assisted
Assess and report the progress of recovering athletes to coaches or physicians.27.5%47.5%25.0%4.74assisted
Collaborate with physicians to develop and implement comprehensive rehabilitation programs for athletic injuries.27.1%35.4%37.5%4.16assisted
Lead stretching exercises for team members prior to games or practices.23.3%26.7%50.0%3.30assisted
Confer with coaches to select protective equipment.20.0%30.0%50.0%3.60assisted
Evaluate athletes' readiness to play and provide participation clearances when necessary and warranted.18.8%43.8%37.5%4.58assisted
Conduct research or provide instruction on subject matter related to athletic training or sports medicine.11.2%26.2%62.5%3.19untouched
Perform team support duties, such as running errands, maintaining equipment, or stocking supplies.10.8%14.2%75.0%2.82untouched
Inspect playing fields to locate any items that could injure players.5.0%20.0%75.0%3.77untouched
Teach sports medicine courses to athletic training students.5.0%20.0%75.0%3.32untouched
Care for athletic injuries, using physical therapy equipment, techniques, or medication.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.69untouched
Clean and sanitize athletic training rooms.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.38untouched
Apply protective or injury preventive devices, such as tape, bandages, or braces, to body parts, such as ankles, fingers, or wrists.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.16untouched
Travel with athletic teams to be available at sporting events.0.0%0.0%100.0%4.13untouched
Massage body parts to relieve soreness, strains, or bruises.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.37untouched
Accompany injured athletes to hospitals.0.0%0.0%100.0%3.33untouched

Task text and importance ratings sourced from O*NET 31.0. Shares computed. The occupation score is the importance-weighted mean.

Occupations either side of this one

The four closest scores in the same occupational family, then the four closest anywhere in the index.

Read this carefully. Exposure is not displacement. A high score means current AI systems can produce this work, not that anyone will stop paying a person to do it. Adoption depends on economics, regulation and inertia that this index deliberately does not model. How the score is built.

What this means in practice

Most of this work is not reachable by current systems, so the immediate pressure is on the administrative edges of the role rather than its core: the scheduling, the reporting, the written records. That is where time is recovered.